27th July 2006.
Astronomic View (Miracle System) came 3rd ,Up Tempo (Best Lay bet of
the Day) came 2nd.
I bet today's deadly sin will strike a chord with a lot of readers!
I have had 100's, yes I mean 100's of conversations with people who
have dropped systems over a couple of day's results, in fact I have
even had people leave this email because of 1 or 2 losers, can you
On another quick note...
Some one emailed me (no names) and accused me of giving the wrong
results because they backed the "Mother of all Lays" and they both
Don't get me wrong I am not trying to embarrass anyone but I do ask
any readers first to learn the distinction between a lay and a win
bet and if you are in any doubt please ask.
My other comment would be why were you betting on my selections after
just a couple of days of joining the email?
See, even if I plaster the deadly sins all over the place, people still
don't take any notice.
What can I do?
"The Deadly sins of Gambling"
The Gambling Sin of Short Term Thinking
This is courtesy of Dave, a reader.
I think a medium to long term approach to betting is absolutely vital,
particularly (but not only) where win systems are concerned, as you
tend to have losing streaks that test your faith.
I also believe short-term thinking underpins a lot of other mistakes
- greed, not testing and so on.
You only have to look around Adrian Massey's custom reports, as I know
you frequently do, to see what I mean. How many ways are there to find
a system returning 120% on a 9-year view? You think, "Great, I'll just
follow those, and almost certainly make a profit, based on years of
solid evidence over thousands of analysed races.
" You may well be right, but then you see the maximum losing streaks -
29 losses in a row, for example.
How many gamblers would, A) Bail out after 20 consecutive losses, or,
B) Set up an appropriate bank, stay the course, understand and trust
the statistics, and stay disciplined? I think we all know that sadly
maybe 80-90% (mal 98%) take the first option, and this route doesn't
make money. The second can be scary and requires great patience, but
can make decent overall returns, always assuming good selections are
made. We're not trying to get rich overnight here, which is a whole
I maintain that the key to all this is to think long term and treat
your betting bank as an investment, and your system - back or lay -
as the investment vehicle. Also, using bookies, Betfair or SP+ as
markets to shop around for the best returns on that investment can
make a massive difference to your overall profit margins. We should
never underestimate this factor. Personally, I find that Betfair has
great odds for backing outsiders, but the standard wisdom of a 20%
difference falls down at shorter prices. This is an average only, and
is heavily skewed in both directions. If my selection methods throw
up a shorter-priced favourite, I would tend to use SP+, so that a
return one "roll" over SP is guaranteed. (eg. at 2/1 you actually get
on at 9/4). Doing this is like getting a few extra winners every
month, for almost no extra effort.
Thanks Dave, does anyone else have a Deadly Sin to add?
Ok after some more work on the "Mother of all lay systems"
selections we have decided that the maximum price to lay at
is 7.00 on the exchanges.
We won on both yesterday.
16.00 Bath, Tomthevic,,
19:20 Folkstone, Mocha Java
New (test) Lay System..."Nags to Riches"
Both won yesterday
W = 56
L = 10
% = 85
19:20 Folkstone, Mocha Java
14:45 Sandown, Balian
Miracle System (win Bet)
19.50 Folkstone, King´s Fable
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"Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
18:30 York, Al Qasi (V4 Flat)
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I
will choose one of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system formula:
Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners last got an update 22/07/2005
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the
"Lay Betting System"
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website...
o Todays sponser tip
As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as
within Bismarx range.
Watch for market changes before the race.
Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where non-runner's have left less
than 5 runner's in a race.
Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged
between the Favourite and the other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached.
Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.
14.10 Sand PRIME DEFENDER @2.5
14.35 Uttox LADINO @2.4
15.50 Sand ESCAPE CLAUSE @2.4
16.15 Uttox BOREHILL JOKER @2.7
18.25 Lim LILY ELISE @2.5
19.25 Lim TURKS WOOD @2.6
19.30 York MOMTIC @2.0
20.20 Folk PRINCE PICASSO @2.4
Tel: 0906 663 0456 £1.50 p/min from landlines.
Back and lay bets may be included in message.
Call length will not exceed 4 minutes Updates Mon-Sat at 1:15 pm.
Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my
Best of Luck
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