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21st September 2006.

Yesterdays Results
Allaboveboard (Miracle System) came 1st, Coalpark (lay of the day) came 8th!

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I get this feeling you know that the statistics that show the % of favourites winnings, seem to happen in batches.

What are you on about Malcolm?

It always seems to me you have odd periods where favourites seem to keep winning no matter what and then it doesn't matter what you do, they just lose all the time!

So when we here that 40% of odds on favourites win their races I would love to see a graph over a period of a year, to see if there are weeks or months where they tend to win or lose more often.

I suspect (maybe because I am about to have a holiday) that weather has something to do with it and maybe even the cycle of the moon and planets!

Ok the weather is probably more likely (no disrespects to people who use astrology) especially when conditions change overnight.

I would be interested to hear your views, whatever they are.

Racing Post - lose and win selections
(racingpost - racing- tipsters-naps- Today's best Bet's)

17:30, Redcar, Elkhorn 1st 4/5 AV 2.68, (av Place Price 1.37)

We won on Elkhorn yesterday and although his SP was under under evens his Betfair price was above all day.

My Win Selection: (8 winners 11 loser so far)
16:40, Fontwell, Classi Maureen 1.87

This is one of those cases where the trainer is trying to get another win in before the horse gets hit with the full handicap penalty from their last win. Considering Classi Maureen won by 14 lengths the 7lb (ex7) she is carrying shouldn't hamper her although she is probably up against stiffer competition in this race. With such a small field she may be worth sticking with even though the price is not very attractive. One small factor here the place price is 1.25 not a great difference form the back price. I wonder if we going to back that we may as well go for the place?


"The Deadly sins of Gambling"

Other Sins.


New (test) Lay System..."Nags to Riches"
Only one selection for the both yesterday but we won and at a better price than we have seen for day's.

Sorry this is the last few day's of showing this selection if you like these tips and wish to continue receiving them you can here.

W = 86
L = 12
% = 87

Normal (this is the normal nag's to Riches lay system rules selection).
14:40 Fontwell, Tirailleur

New (this is a new version of nag's to Riches lay system rules selection that we have been trying).

16:00 Pontefract, Book Of Music



Miracle System (win Bet)
16:40, Fontwell, Classi Maureen (Win bet)


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"Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
16:00 Pontefract, Book Of Music (V4 Flat)

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

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