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30th October 2007 2007
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
I have seen a few systems doing the rounds at the moment
that rely on watching to see if the favourites price improves before the off
and if it does back it.
I wonder how wise this is and if you can
actually make profit from it?
First of all why does a price shorten on a
runner?
Well I suppose the most obvious is that people are putting more
money on it, so the bookies lower the price to adjust for the extra payout they
may have to make and the exchanges, because backers are having to offer better
prices to get layers to take the bait, which is actually a very simplistic view
of what's going on but more on that later.
You actually have to look at
the bookies and the exchanges as two different bodies and so the reasons for
prices dropping could be very different and although the weight of money could
be a factor on the exchange, there are other forces that should be
considered.
Let's look at it from a bookies point of view.
You
have to remember bookies, especially the established ones have a lot of
knowledge about racing and they offer the odds based on that knowledge, but
they also have to adjust prices on the amount of money they receive and also
they have to attract punters.
Now in reality at the end of the day they
know as well as we do that anything can happen in a race, but there have to be
occasions where they know a favourite has a lot less chance of winning that
most punters think, they also know that many punters follow favourites and
watch out for changes in price.
So your first question when you see the
price of a favourite changing is why?
(Note: This is one of the reasons
I do not like betting on Saturdays is that the weekend punters have a tendency
to follow what's popular.)
Has something in the race changed?
Has
a major player become a NR (non runner)?
Has the running surface
changed?
More on this tomorrow but I would love to hear from you if you
have a comment on this subject and would like to share it with other
readers.
------------------- Sorry didn't get chance to try the
Voodoo system system yesterday but I am going to see if I can
today.
Don't forget you need to be able to bet all day to use this
system.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/go_voodoo.htm
------------------- TSF lay system. Please remember this will be a lay
test and we are not even sure the way we are selecting the runners will work,
this may have to become a method rather than a system.
Yesterday's. No Selections Today's Lay selections. No selections
at all today. . ------------------ My
Fancy
Fillies lost yesterday. Don't forget if you have bought the ebook
you can also sign up for their tipping service.
http://www.laybetting.com/go_fancy_fillies_service.htm
----------------------------
2. Guest Selection -
Brian's and Graham's win tips. Brian and Graham's win tips are shortish
priced but very consistent. Yesterday (Friday) 1400 Lingfield
Full Marks 1.5 on Betfair 4th 2/7 Here are today's (win bets) No
selection today. 3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only. Points since we started + 45.82 Points new
system (30/07/07) + 15.39 Yesterday: 14.00 Lingfield, Tepee, EP
2.96 6th
Today's: No Selections today.
(*) No bet
under new system idea 4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Yesterday: Normal: 14:40, Kempton, Magic Glade
1st 4/7 Pts 2007: +7.23 Top Choice: 16:20, Leicester,
Welsh Emperor 25pts 1st 8/11 Pts 2007: +2.27 Bank =768.91
Today: Normal: 14:50, Wolverhampton, What`s For Tea Top
Choice: 14:50, Wolverhampton, What`s For Tea 25pts (we are trying an
experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points are based on where we
are in the staking plan. 25pts is the level stakes bet and we started with a
500pts bank on the 22/06/2007) You can purchase this system here:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/miracle-system-06-payment.htm
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Click the link below to discover how you can make 150% return on your
investment using a little known secret to easily find lays that just go on
winning time after time...
Click Here to read
more 6. "Best Lay of the Day" -
Lay Betting
System Bet Yesterday: 15.20 Leic Observatory Star 5th
7/2 Today: No slection today. Please Note: The lay
betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the
selections for this tip. You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the system: 1) Pick more than one race
a day 2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices) 3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners. 4) UK or IRE
races 5) Bonus Systems and regular updates. 6) Now on V4 7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase 8) Owners get free updates 9) Now
includes Lay Place System. 10) Now includes AW System 11) Now includes
the Investment System If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW** You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website. Click here to find out more. 7. Today's sponsor tip
Bills 321
Lays . Selection 1: yarmouth 3.40 memphus man* Selection 2:
4.10 awabulb** Selection 3: catterick 2.00 boppies pride*** Selection
4: 2.30 distant sun* Selection 5: 3.20 goose green** Selections 6:
3.50 teasing*
Staking: The rule of the 321 staking plan is
subjected to the price of the horses odds on betfair or other exchanges that
allow you to lay a horse.
Odds 0-to 6.0 lay 3pts 6.1 to 10/1
lay 2pts 10.1 to 20 lay 1pt
Bills 321 Lays
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay
System started 07/11/2006. Sorry no more Greyhound Selections
after 6 months of testing! If you subscribe to the
Grey Horse bot then you can still
load the session file in. http://www.laybetting.com/session.xml
Or there are still a few copies of the system left.
http://www.laybetting.com/mals-grey-sys.htm
9. Ace Naps - (Back
Tip) Ace Nap (back tip) This is selection method David and I
are testing at the moment, there are not many tips but when there are they seem
to win a lot. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/ace-naps.htm
Yesterday's Selection. No selection Today. No selection
Today. Please remember as always, this is a test.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/ We make every
effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses
incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information
provided. This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or
start at anytime, the sponsor of the tip can change at anytime. You
can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.
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