Here is your FREE tip for today - 27th January 2005.
Yesterdays Results
Ossmoses(Miracle System) came in 2nd, Aberdare (lay of the Day) came
in 4th.
http://www.layingforprofituk.co.uk, All 3 tips wer winners for us.
Todays ramblings
Good morning.
Thanks for all your emails of support yesterday, I think I answered
everyone, but just importantly it was great to see so many of you
clicking the link!
I made a bit of a mess of the news letter, because I didn't put in
the correct AW tip (I left the days before in) or the Lay Place system.
Anyway just for the record here they are...
AW Lay System.
12.30 Ling, Eastborough, came in 3rd
Lay Place System
13.10 Huntingdon, Talldark´N´Andsome, came in 5th, so that is now 3
loser's in 11 bets.
They were both put in the protected part of the forum, so they can
be verified.
-----------------------
Todays AW Lay bet
12.40 Sout Bojangles,
Lay place system
No selection today
-----------------------
1st Lto Win or Lose?
If you have a look at the basic stats then only a 3rd of horses go on
to win the next time they run and only a small percentage win 3 in a
row(overall flat are less and jumps are higher)
But most win systems you see say “look out for them” and most lay
systems you see say “beware of them” (mine included) so why is this?
Well I suspect it’s all down do percentages and although there is less
chance of a horse winning again, it is higher than a horse that has
not won before.
When in fact it isn’t!
A horse that placed 2nd LTO actually only has a slightly less chance
of winning and horses that were on their debut, were just as likely
to win.
For system builders (win or lay) this can obviously cause a dilemma
so we have to do more research, to find out if there are places where they do
better or worse.
Unfortunately favourites that won LTO tend not to be god value for
money, and are often odds on, which for a win system means there is
very little profit and for a lay system, we know odds on is a risk!
Lets play around with this idea for the next few days and see if we
can come up with our own conclusions.
Today we have 5 races with favourites that were LTO winners and only
1 is forecast odds on, so it will be interesting to see SP and results.
13.30 Warwick, 9/4 Rosetown,
14.00 Warwick, 5/2 Toulouse-Lautrec,
15.00 Warwick, 11/10 Figaro Du Rocher,
15.50 Plumpton, 8/13 Surefast,
16.20 Plumpton, 11/4 Fairly Smart,
I will take some other information down about each race, but I would
love to hear from anyone who has done their own research on the
subject.
-----------------------
Bismarx day to day, I just thought you would like to know if you are
not on Jon's list that yesterday he sent out an offer of 1 weeks no
charge trial with the bismarx.
If you want to find out more about it then send and email to Jon.
I am not sure how many places he is giving away so I would be quick.
-----------------------
Have good day's.
Malcolm
Miracle System (win Bet)
15.10 Southwell, Treasure Cay
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/betting_exchanges.htm
The Readers Tip
Todays's tip comes from Jon
15.00 Warw, NAGANO 1.6 Place bet only
Cool Link.
http://www.www.Bismarx.com
Please note: if you do decide to bet on this tip you do so at your own
risk the contributor or myself can not be held responsible for any
loses.
As always be careful!
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/betting_exchanges.htm
Place System (on exchanges only)
No win in latest run.
13.50 Plumpton, Reflected Glory,
We have tried to create a system to go along with My Mathematical
Formula:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/My-Mathematical-Formula.htm
If you want to see how we created the system then plese look here:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/place-system.htm
Sponser of the day (please take a look you never no!)
Got a reliable Internet connection and a couple of hours in the
afternoon spare?
Good! Let me teach you how to make £18000 plus, tax free, per year,
at home, in front of your PC. No scams, no tricks, no MLM… and you
don’t have to even like horse racing.
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"Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
13.40 South, Mugeba
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 3 systems in 1 so I will
post the highest scoring selection here.
You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Bet on Saturdays and Sundays (no emails from me on these days)
3) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
4) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the
"Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
o Todays sponser tip
http://www.www.Bismarx.com
As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as
Bismarck potential, they may not be suitable for laying later in the day.
Watch for non-runners and market changes before the race.
Generally, do not lay at odds over 2.8 or where there are less than 5
runner's in a race.
Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between
the Favourite and the other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached. Prepare for liability
in advance - always plan your next move first.
13.10 Sthl CEREBUS 2.8
13.50 Plum REFLECTED GLORY 1.8
13.55 Thurl BRIGHT GAS 1.8
14.55 Thurl RATHGAR BEAU 2.7
15.00 Warw FIGARO DU ROCHER 2.4
15.10 Sthl TREASURE CAY 2.5
15.50 Plum SUREFAST 1.9
1 Weeks FREE trial now on!
Todays Bismarx 0906 663 0456 (updates 12.30 pm)
http://www.www.Bismarx.com
Betting Exchanges
Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my
URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Best of Luck
Malcolm |