26th March
2008 Todays ramblings Good Morning.
If you use the Racing Post website a lot you have
probably noticed that the tipsters naps table was reset a couple of days ago,
to represent the start of the flat system.
I use this table in a
couple of system but not so much for the order in which the tipsters rank, but
more on how many tipsters are following a particular runner.
The problem
we have at the start of a new season is the lack of current form to go on and
it is really no different for the tipsters in the naps table.
What tends
to happen is that form is based on last years results or as many horses have
already run on AW courses they use this form.
(If you didn't know AW
form is always in "bold", so it is easy to see if a horse has come off AW
recently.)
I don't think it is wise to use either because last years
form doesn't always equate to this year and a runner who likes Fibresand, may
not be so happy on the green stuff.
One thing to notice now though is
that we have AW racing almost everyday and on many occasions more than 1
meeting. Although it is not the easiest surface to judge, it is probably the
most consistent type of racing we have, so if you want to get better at reading
form and judging racing then AW is a good place to start.
There are
only 4 AW courses and although the surfaces differ slightly you can probably
get a good feel for each track and how the draw works. Most AW races are within
the 1.3 mile bracket and of course there are no jumps.
I am not saying
it is any easier picking winners or losers on AW. I am really just pointing out
that if you want to give your self some selections everyday which are not as
affected by the change in seasons and weather conditions, then AW is a good
place to start.
Using a site like Flat Stats may help. http://www.flatstats.co.uk/
And
here is some more interesting information from them. http://www.flatstats.co.uk/samples/aw/workshop/workshop.shtml
----------------- New
Lay Test http://www.laybetting.com/2008-lay-test.htm
Yesterday's
14.10 Pontefract, Sphere EP 28 3rd 20/1 (I got 30) http://www.laybetting.com/25-03-2008-lay-test.JPG
Today's 5.50
Newc: Celtic Saloon EP 390
Pot 2 now stands at
£-62.78 (Target £70.00)
----------------- New
Greyhound Lay system I had come up with. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/12-03-2008.htm
After
some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in
Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a
little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
Yesterday shows
that you don't always get a Greyhound winning it's race with this system and
was the reason why I was reluctant to take that route. Of course the only real
way to tell was to open the odds right out again, but I want to see how we do
on lays 6.00 or under first.
Yesterday's 11:03, Nott, Yorktown
Pride 11:42, PBarr, Ballybride Gerry 12:18, Nott, Salacres Toronto
12:47, Nott, Our Waltz 13:19, Nott, Lucky Flutter 15:28, Crayfd,
Cullane Devil 15:58, Sund, Raparee Wok 17:22, Crayfd, Snipers Reply
17:38, Crayfd, Tell Me Roy http://www.laybetting.com/greyhound-new-25-03-08.JPG
Here
are today's 11:28, Newc, Specific Mile 12:42, Newc, Stay For One
13:27, Newc, Glenfield Mist 14:08, Hove, Wellow Archie 14:47, Hove,
Swift Minx 16:27, Hove, Humming Heiress 17:22, Hove, Harry Surprise
17:56, Hove, Kildrenagh Land Please remember this is a new test and
there are no rules yet.
Guest Selection Sorry I wan't to
confirm a couple of things before I carry on with the guest.
Sponsors of the day Sponsor product of the day (please take a look
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----------------------------- Sponsor Tip of the
day.
Gray's
Lays
Comments for today: Caution
again today 1/2 point only. GREEN GAMBLE 1625 Kempton. Also looked at Came Back
1525 Southwell and Sahrati 1710 Southwell. Good Luck Graham and Brian
Selection 1: 1625 Kempton Green
Gamble 0.5 Gray's
Lays
Malcolm's Selections Best Lay of the
Day Yesterday. 16.40 Sedg, Deuteronomy. 2nd 7/1 Today:
15.50 Kemp, The Jolly Spoofer
Please Note: The lay betting system
is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this
tip. You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the system: 1) Pick more than one race
a day 2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices) 3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners. 4) UK or IRE
races 5) Bonus Systems and regular updates. 6) Now on V4 7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase 8) Owners get free updates 9) Now
includes Lay Place System. 10) Now includes AW System 11) Now includes
the Investment System If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW** You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website. Click here to find out more.
---------------------------------------- Place System: Started
20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only. Points since we started + 76.82 Points new
system (30/07/07) + 33.12 Yesterday: 14:10, Pontefract, Sphere, EP
2.92 (*) 3rd (2 NR's) 15:00, Sedgefield, Verstone, EP 3.6 (*) 7th 15:20,
Fontwell, Highglen, EP 2.26 7th 16:30, Fontwell, Azione, EP 2.12 7th
Today. 19:50, Wolverhampton, Justcallmehandsome, EP 2.28 21:20,
Wolverhampton, Stolt, EP 2.7 (*) No bet under new system idea
------------------------------------------
Back test
system Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system
but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how
we are now testing it. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/lay-back-results.htm £10
stakes.
Level Stakes £32.74
(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008 Using a staking plan similar to
CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/11/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £1.68 ( I put this back to 0 because I forgot to
show how staking would work!) Yesterday. 16:20, Pont, Heaven Knows
EP 2.26 3rd evens
Today. Sorry no selection
today. Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying
these selections. Other Information I Prefer
betfair.com
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out) If you need help about anything please go to my
support site. If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
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