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22nd November 2007 2007


Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I wanted to comment on the article from Psycho that I gave you on Tuesday.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/20-11-2007.htm

As you can probably imagine I get asked a lot about tips services and % win rates and a variety of questions that go with it.

Psycho was of course correct that all services go through good and bad spells and many of the bad spells, seem to happen when you have just joined!

There are some questions you need to ask yourself.

If I join this service and I hit it at a bad time can my bank survive?
What steps should you take to protect myself if it does start losing?
When do I give up on the selections altogether?

I am a great believer in paper trading but I also understand that if you have to pay to join a service, then you want to try and start making that money back as soon as possible, but normally very small stakes should make you enough to cover this cost.

When you first join a service do not use any type of staking plan to start with, keep your bets at level stakes and see what effect this has on your bank. Most people get into trouble because they start using a staking plan straight away and then get into trouble, very quickly.

Psycho made another point in his article.

"Why tipster services move up and down the league table is because the strike rates of the systems are rising and then falling. No rocket science here! "

This is a good point, I often get asked what the strike rate of a system is but this figure may not always tell the whole story.

You could have a lay system that because of a run of winners is showing an 82% strike rate. 1 week later you could have several losers which would take the strike rate down maybe to 78% but on it's own it doesn't tell you much at all.

I always look for worst case scenario first and how to handle it.

I have said this a hundred times:
"If you fail to plan then you are planning to fail"

Do your homework it will pay off in the end.

--------------------------
A reader named Gary.
These are for laying, I do suggest people only do this on paper for the moment, since it is still in testing. However results have been very positive so far, it has had 1 or 2 bad days, but has recovered them quite quickly:

Laying:

22/11/2007, 12.27, Sheffield BAGS, Confident Fawn, 6, 15613 22/11/2007, 12.32, Sunderland BAGS, Nowisthetime, 1
22/11/2007, 12.42, Sheffield BAGS, Hesley Stone, 2
22/11/2007, 13.27, Sheffield BAGS, Gate Lodge Maya, 2
22/11/2007, 13.44, Sheffield BAGS, Gee Whizz Milly, 4
22/11/2007, 15.07, Romford BAGS, Petite Millie, 6
22/11/2007, 16.27, Romford BAGS, Limited Time, 3
22/11/2007, 16.57, Crayford BAGS, Bibs Buster, 1
22/11/2007, 17.17, Crayford BAGS, Xamax Diamond, 1
22/11/2007, 17.33, Crayford BAGS, Shanganna Tan, 5
22/11/2007, 17.48, Crayford BAGS, Ballet Boy, 2
22/11/2007, 18.04, Crayford BAGS, Menorcan Boss, 1
22/11/2007, 19.06, Sittingbourne BAGS, Banner Mackosi, 4
22/11/2007, 19.26, Newcastle BAGS, Oracle Meadow, 2
22/11/2007, 19.52, Sittingbourne BAGS, Confused Rooney, 2
22/11/2007, 20.22, Sittingbourne BAGS, Avago Bingo, 2
22/11/2007, 21.14, Newcastle BAGS, Il Divo, 4

There is no staking involved just level stakes. I will get Gary to send me all his results so far so that we can put them in to a web page.

2. Guest Selection - Brian's and Graham's win tips.
Brian and Graham's win tips are shortish priced but very consistent.

Yesterday.
1240 Hexham Chip N Pin 2.94 5th 9/2
1250 Warwick Ouzbeck 2.00 2nd 4/7

Here are today's (win bets)
1310 Market Rasen Sun King 3.9

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3 Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 55.88
Points new system (30/07/07) + 21.39

Yesterday:
No selections yesterday

Today's:
14:30, Wincanton, Saint Godegrand EP 2.46

(*) No bet under new system idea
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Yesterday:
Normal:  12:50, Warwick, Ouzbeck 2nd 4/7
Pts 2007: +2.61
Top Choice:  12:50, Warwick, Ouzbeck 50pts 2nd 4/7
Pts 2007: - 0.85
Bank =577.60

Today:
Normal: 14:40, Market Rasen, Youll Do For Me
Top Choice: 19:50, Wolverhampton, Lord Of The Reins 75pts

(we are trying an experiment with the Top Choice selection and the points are based on where we are in the staking plan. 25pts is the level stakes bet and we started with a 500pts bank on the 22/06/2007)
You can purchase this system here:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/miracle-system-06-payment.htm
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Got a reliable Internet connection and a couple of hours in the afternoon spare? Good! Let me teach you how to make £18000 plus, tax free, per year, at home, in front of your PC. No scams, no tricks, no MLM… and you don’t have to even like horse racing.
Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
Yesterday:
14.50 War, Mickmacmagoole 2nd 11/4

Today: 15.20 Here, Optimistic Harry

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm

**NEW**

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Bismarx(BVR)

As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as within Bismarx range.
Watch for market changes before the race.
Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race.
Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached. Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.
12.40 MR CALGARY BAY @2.7
14.30 Winc SHANXI GIRL @2.7
14.40 MR YOULL DO FOR ME @2.5
15.00 Winc TOM SAYERS @2.7
15.35 Thurl OUR MATTI @2.

Bismarx(BVR)

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.


Sorry no more Greyhound Selections after 6 months of testing!
If you subscribe to the Grey Horse bot then you can still load the session file in.
http://www.laybetting.com/session.xml

Or there are still a few copies of the system left.
http://www.laybetting.com/mals-grey-sys.htm

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com

Have a good days racing.

Malcolm

Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com

P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/

We make every effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information provided.

This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or start at anytime, the sponsor of the tip can change at anytime.

You can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.
 
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