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21st November 2008
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
If the weather stays good we are
going to do a lot of walking with the dogs this weekend, I want to just get out
in to the fresh air.
We have had 3 losers in a row on
my Lay Betting System. It was posted in the forum that it has been a long time
since we saw that happen and I can only think of one other occasion when it
has, but if we put it in context to what we have been talking about this week,
then we should have been ready for it.
Before we go on this morning I
think we have to accept that after 2 losers this week "Double your chance" is
not looking very good at all. David is looking to see if we can learn anything
from them but I am not sure you can do much considering the lay prices can be
so high.
So carrying on from
yesterday....
Looking at
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/
and the results...
The ones in the spreadsheet (pre database)
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/backs.xls
and the ones in the
database...
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/data.asp
And our Observations...
1.
All selections are 2 (evens) or above.
2. Longest losing run 9 in one month
(10 continuous)
3. Longest winning run is 6
Where does that leave us.
Well I don't fancy the idea of
using a staking plan when you may have to go through 9 or 10 losers in a row,
it is possible, but can get expensive, so I would go for level stakes betting
and stop at 5pts. Now we have to accept that we could have to go through at
least 9 or 10 losers, before we get to 5 pts so we have to be ready for that.
So the maximum I would use would
be 5% of my bank as a stake, this would give would mean you could go 20 losers
before losing the all of it.
If you have a bank of say
£200 and you use 5% to back at level stakes of £10 then you should
be able to make £50 in your first month. The second month you will have
£250 so now you use 5% again and you are now betting £12.50 so you
should be able to make £62.50. Just carry on doing that and you could
have a substantial bank by the end of the year if things carry on the way they
have been going.
Once you have decided on your
bank and stake, the next thing you want to do is to see if you can get the same
odds that Graham and Brian are getting. Now odds are going to be important to
maximise your profit and I think it is important that you try to get as close
to or better than Graham and Brian are showing.
The simplest thing to do is just
take SP at that the bookies, then you know you will have the same price. You
could also test SP at Betfair but remember that you will be paying 5%
commission on any winnings to you will have to work out if it is going to be
worth it. You could also split your stake and use it in different ways.
One of my favourite ways is to
go in running and ask for Betfairs SP + 10% or something like that.
GHB is really useful
for this idea and http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/ give a .CSV everyday that you
can use to load the races into
GHB and get it to
automatically ask for the in-running %. You must remember that you won't always
get matched so this should only play part of your strategy.
The point again is to find what
works and you are only going to do it through testing!
http://www.laybackracing.co.uk/ also
have a lay service which is based on a stop at a winner, so next week we will
look at them next week. Don't forget about my Xmas special, but I have had a
lot of people take this up this week so it probably won't last much
longer.
If you
purchase the http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk/ over the next couple
of weeks I will also send you under separate cover.
http://www.laybetting.com/mals-grey-sys.htm
http://www.easiestmoneyever.co.uk/
(Which I am removing from sale any day).
http://www.layinvestor.co.uk/index-special.htm
(Which I haven't put back on sale since purchasing it from the
author).
So you get all the above for just £39.99.
I think
that's a very good offer when you consider what they all cost separately. This
is a special offer to readers of this email and we will send the download
instructions for the bonus systems after we have received your payment
information.
And please no refunds!
Have a great weekend.
Guest Selection ("Good to
Lay" ) started 27/08/2008
This selection is now only available as
part of The Almost Certain Nap service.
http://www.thealmostcertainnap.co.uk/
Guest Selection ("Double
your chance" ) started 7/11/2008
The idea behind this selection is
that you back one runner and lay the other. The lay as a much higher strike
rate than the back, so we put enough on the lay to make profit even if the back
loses. A split of 20/30 seems to work well. So if you bet £5 you put 2.00
on the back and 3.00 on the lay.
Rule: If the favourite is a NR (non
runner) you can still bet on the lay (I still think there is a risk here) but
if the lay is a NR then no bet.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/Double-Your-Chances.xls
Yesterday.
3.00
Winc:
Back: Elsies Pride EP 2.72 2nd 5/2
Lay: New Perk EP 14 1st
15/2
Today's.
2.50 Exet:
Oracle Des Mottes EP 3.50
Overclear
EP 10.5
Sponsors of the day
("Products and Tips for you to look at.")
Sponsor product
of the day (please take a look you never
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Sponsor Tip of the day.
Sorry no sponsor today.
Best Lay of the Day ("1 Lay
a day from my Lay betting System")
Yesterday.
15.20
Here, Ring Bo Ree 1st 8/11
Today: 13.15 Kelso,
Justtheoneforyou
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4
systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.
You
can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Please Note: I do not keep records of this tip, I just want to show
readers how good it can be but part of learning should be to watch what a
selection does daily.
You can also have this tip delivered as content
to your own website.
Click here
to find out more.
Back test system ( "A 'back'
system that I came up with a while ago")
This system is available
as part of The Pro Betting Systems e-book.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/go_pbs.htm
Yesterday.
15:20, Hrfd, Ring Bo Ree EP 2.82 1st 8/11
Today. 13:40 Extr, Lodge Lane EP
2.48
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing "backing" these selections.
Other Information (" Here
is some other info that should help you")
I Prefer
betfair.com
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out)
If you need help about anything please go to my
support site.
If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.
You can automate your betting with
GHB.
http://www.greyhorsebot.co.uk/
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
Also check my blog
here
We make every
effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses
incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information
provided.
This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or
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