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21st September 2005.
Yesterdays Results
Woodnook (Miracle System) came 1st, Thebestisyettocome(Best Lay bet
of the Day) came in 4th!
http://www.turnerslaytips.co.uk/ came 10th.
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
Woke up with a bit of a cold this morning so feeling a little sorry
for myself but happy that we had a full house yesterday!
Staking
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/08-09-2005.htm
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/20-09-2005.htm
We have already seen that it would be silly to use the Martingale
staking system to get back any loses on a win system, and to be quite
honest with a potential of 12 losers in a row, we have to accept just
about any staking plan would be costly.
Using our RacingPost example, we could make the assumption that this
probably won’t happen often and we know on average there is 1 winner
every 4 races.
So the first thing to do is set a limit to maximum losing races you
are prepared to use the staking plan on, in this case I would make it
5, this is one more than the average so it should give us a little
advantage.
We know that the average odds are 4/1 so we do not have to use a
radical staking plan to get our winnings back, if we can in fact get a
winner at these odds.
One of my favourites is to take your first losing stake and add it to
the next race…
Now before you bite my head off, after the first loss this is doubling
your stake, but after that you are only adding your original stake to
your next stake.
I think an explanation is in order.
Using 5% of our £500 fantasy bank we lose on the first bet
Stake Bank
25 475 after loss
Our next bet is £50 but we lose again:
50 425 after loss
Now we add our original stake to our loses from the last bet so our
next bet is:
75 350 after loss
We lose again so our next bet is:
100 250 after loss
Statistically we should have had won on the last bet but just in case
lets go to 5th race which we win at 3/1
125 * 3/1 = 375 + 250.00 (existing bank) total bank now £625.00
Don’t get me wrong I know this is radical and to be successful you
either need lots of low price winners or a few good winners of 2/1 or
more.
Also you wouldn’t be able to use the above plan past 5 loses, but in
theory it should work with these tips.
Of course you could also change it slightly by only using say half of
your original losing stake so after your first loss of £25 your next
bet would be £37.50 and so on.
You must remember though that if you lost on the 5th race then you
must revert back to 5% of your bank, you may also want to consider
using a smaller % of your bank when using a staking plan 2 or 3% would
be better and may mean you could take the staking plan a little
further.
The thing to do is test on paper until you come up with a plan you are
comfortable with, which is the real trick. I see far too many people
introduce a staking plan without thinking the consequences through,
and they are same people that blame everyone but themselves for their
losses!
I know that sounds harsh but unfortunately it’s true.
Lets watch the RacingPost tips over the next few days using the
staking plan
They lost with Lizarazu yesterday which was their first loss after a
win, so our fantasy bank is now at £475.00 and todays stake is £50.
Attorney in the 17.50 Giidwiid is today’s tip and at the moment is
trading at 7.8 on the exchanges.
Tomorrow we will look at the lay side of staking plans.
Have good day's racing.
Malcolm
Miracle System (win Bet)
17.25 Redcar, Sanchi
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/betting_exchanges.htm
Place System (on exchanges only)
8 Wins in the latest run.
No Selection Today
We have tried to create a system to go along with My Mathematical
Formula:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/My-Mathematical-Formula.htm
If you want to see how we created the system then plese look here:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/place-system.htm
Sponser of the day (please take a look you never no!)
Are you sick and tired of earning little or no money from your
gambling?
Have you tried countless so called tipsters, sure bets or systems
only to get even more frustrated and disappointed?
Click Here to read more
"Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
17:55 REDCAR, Keys Of Cyprus (one of todays V4 Slections)
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 so I will
post the highest scoring selection here.
You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Bet on Saturdays and Sundays (no emails from me on these days)
3) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
4) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
5) UK or IRE races
6) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
7) Now on V4
8) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
9) Owners last got an update 22/07/2005
10) Now includes Lay Place System.
11) Now includes AW System
12) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the
"Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW**
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website...
http://www.laybetting.com/free_tip.htm
o Todays sponser tip
Lay Bet a day
14.55 Perth, Cyborg de sou
Suggested stake 0.5% to 2% of your bank.
Lay Bet a day
Betting Exchanges
Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my
URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Best of Luck
Malcolm |
