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21st May
2008
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
We had our first loser on the Guest Selection (back 4
profit) yesterday. I am not to concerned because I was already in profit and we
only lost by head so it proves the system is picking good runners but it has
put back my plans for more aggressive staking for a couple of days while we get
back a little profit.
This is now the systems 5th loser and we will look
at it as usual to see if there is anything that can be learned, but if we go
onto win today then all is well. I would be surprised if we lost two days in a
row and I could be tempted to run a staking plan but I just don't see the point
because if the system carries on running as it has then we should make up the
loss in 2 or 3 days.
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Darren from the
betting
School
Laying for Profit
You'll read no end of sales
letters for wonder laying systems online (and ones you receive in the post)
that will tell you that laying horses to lose is a guaranteed way to easy
profit.
v Laying is a great way to make money and an opportunity we didn't
have in the hard days of my betting youth but that doesn't mean that it is easy
and that you don't have to be careful.
I don't want to put you off of
laying as a betting method but in this article I want to just point out some
facts that you need to keep in mind when planning your laying strategy.
The first myth that you will hear about often is that bookmakers don't
lose and therefore if you act like the bookmaker, by laying, that you will win
also.
The fact is that bookmakers can lay with an overround (Built in
profit factor) of between 8% and 30% depending on the sport. You can lay with
an overround of about 0.5%. And that's if you ask for a price, if you take the
price available on Betfair then your locked in profit factor is - 0.5% (IE If
you lay random selections then over the long term you will lose 0.5% of your
turnover, ouch!).
The second trap that the new layer may fall into is
that of the long winning run. For example if you are laying selections at 10/1
+ you can go for long runs without any of your layed horses winning. This gives
the impression that you can't lose.
But if you hit a 10/1 winner you
need to lay another 10 losers to be even. If you get 2 that win in the same day
your bank can take a serious hit, which brings me to my final point today.
You need a bank to cover the worst possible run. So if you hit 2 big
winners close together you still have enough money available to carry out your
planned bets. There are simple calculations that you can perform to work out
some worst case scenarios regarding your betting losing runs (Find these in the
www.betting-school.com members area) and you should make
these calculations and know that the worst case will happen at some time in
your betting career. Be prepared.
More people fail with their betting
because they are under funded than any other reason!
Darren Power is
the Editor of the Betting School Insiders Report which is dedicated to helping
you to profit from your betting. You can register for a free sample copy of the
report at:
http://www.laybetting.com/go_bet-school.htm
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New Greyhound Lay system I had come up
with.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/12-03-2008.htm
After
some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in
Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a
little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
Yesterday's.
11:34, Nott, Bombardier
11:57, PBarr, Windy Maria
12:58, PBarr, Tedo
Spike
13:19, Nott, Solo Joe
14:47, Crayfd, Speedy Senorita
15:17,
Sund, Rainham Lady
16:18, Sund, Jubilee Ace
17:17, Sund, Mays
Whisper
17:17, Sund, Mayfield Flash
17:33, Sund, Small Top
17:47,
Sund, Bridge Spire
18:48, Newc, Sonneti Jack
19:22, Newc, Catunda
Perry
19:22, Newc, Caseys Jumper
20:28, Sheff, Knoppogue Master
20:43, Sheff, Miss Tail Told
20:58, Sheff, Kildare Linnett
21:07, Newc,
Ruby Red
21:14, Sheff, Dianas Ace
21:33, Sheff, Mi Starr
21:52,
Newc, Kncktoosh Swift
21:52, Newc, Ludworth Lola
http://www.laybetting.com/greyhound-new-20-05-08.JPG
I
ran a little later last night to get back some profit.
Today's
11:03, HGrn, Leaway Lizzie
12:12, Newc, Middle Park Lady
13:27, Newc,
Chevington Babe
15:28, Hove, Cash Back
16:37, BVue, Lifes Joker
17:47, BVue, Nautical Mentor
19:22, Swin, Swift Rogue
19:42, Sund,
Mesinhere
20:13, Sund, September Tango
20:13, Sund, Highbury Nell
20:43, Sund, Craan Suki
21:07, Swin, Benja Mary
21:22, Swin, Coolagorna
Folly
Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules
yet.
Guest Selection (back 4 profit)
This is a new back
test.
I am going to show dutching with a £5 stake split between the
two bets using my dutch calculator .
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/dutch-betting-rules.htm
I
am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with
the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the
the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you
can take the next runner in the betting.
Yesterday.
2.50 Bev:
Hippolytus EP 2.94 3rd 11/8
Tartan Gigha EP 4.0 2nd 5/1
Beaten by a
head!
Today.
3.10 Ayr
Hula Ballew EP 2.18
Ensigns Trick EP
4.3
A win today should make 2.33 profit dutching.
Sponsors of
the day
Sponsor product of the day (please take a look you never
Know!)
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-----------------------------
Sponsor Tip of the
day.
Gray's
Lays
Comments for today:
3 horses were considered today and we
have chosen TABERET 1545 Ayr. The other 2 were Hula Ballew 1510 Ayr and Tartan
Snow 1645 Kelso.
Good Luck.
Graham and Brian
Selection 1:
1545Ayr Taberet 1
Gray's Lays
Malcolm's Selections
Best
Lay of the Day
Yesterday.
18.50 Leic, High Standing 1st 2/1
Today: 14.35 Ayr, Abbondanza
Please Note: The lay betting system is
actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this
tip.
You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
 Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race
a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE
races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now
includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes
the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW**
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website.
Click here to find out more.
----------------------------------------
Place System: Started
20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 73.67
Points new
system (30/07/07) +32.04
Yesterday:
14:15, Gdwd, The Which Doctor
EP 4.4
Today.
17:10, Goodwood, Rockfield Rose EP 2.22
17:30, Ayr,
Dance Sauvage EP 2.28
(*) No bet under new system idea
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Back test
system
Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system
but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how
we are now testing it.
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/lay-back-results.htm
£10
stakes.
Level
Stakes
£-6.07(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008
Using a
staking plan similar to
CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £57.26 (staking running loss 0.00
)
Yesterday.
15:40, Muss, Kasumi EP2.36 1st 1/2 (there was a non runner
so I am going to use the 1/2 price)
Today.
14:15, Gdwd, The
Which Doctor EP 3.95
Remember this is just a test and we are paper
testing laying these selections.
Other Information
I Prefer
betfair.com
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out)
If you need help about anything please go to my
support site.
If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/
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