20th May
2008 Todays ramblings Good Morning.
A good day for the selections yesterday and another
winner on the new guest selection (back 4 Profit). I know you keep asking for
results but I just need to get them in to an excel file so they look correct so
please stay with me.
I must admit I am always a little wary about back
selections as they never seem to sustain a winning run throughout two seasons.
So far this system has survived the end of the jump season, gone through the
beginning of the flat season and still showing consistent winners so it is
looking good.
There is no doubt that this system works at level stakes
but if we have another couple of winners then I am going to start getting more
aggressive with the stake to see what happens.
If you take it that in
the 5 day's we have been following them @ 5.00 we would be nearly £10 up
and if we have another winner today we will be well over this then we should
use that to our advantage.
When backing at level stakes you can use a
much higher % of your bank than you can if you are staking or laying, in fact
on these selections it could be even worth running some kind of
accumulator!
Where as I normally recommend a maximum of 1% of your bank
in this case I would have thought 5% or maybe a little more would be fine,
although I would probably say stick to 5% and work out your new stake everytime
you increase your bank.
As I use test accounts and can be a little more
wild, then if we win today, tomorrow I will take out my original £5 and
maybe a little profit and start using my winnings as my stake, the trick is to
take some as profit.
More on this tomorrow if we win
again.
----------------- New Greyhound Lay system I had come up
with. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/12-03-2008.htm
After
some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in
Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a
little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
Yesterday's.
12:27, Sheff, Starjels Harvey 16:47, Monm, Aquamar Boy 17:07, Monm,
Saints Partydoll 17:47, Wstow, Granary Smurf 18:04, Wstow, Centaur
Gemstone 19:06, Nott, Derryhogan Ice 19:52, Nott, Maid Of Orleans
19:52, Nott, Blind Mick 20:51, Nott, Sibsey Showtime 21:07, Nott, Swift
Sapphire 21:07, Nott, Freight Train 21:22, Nott, Mottos Star 21:.4,
Nott, Avondale Stan 21:58, Nott, Johnny One Shot 22:22, Romfd, Form Of
Love 22:15, Nott, Two Nicks http://www.laybetting.com/greyhound-new-19-05-08.JPG Not
a lot happening early so I stopped when I was back in
profit.
Today's I am sorry but sporting life haven't put todays
greyhound races up yet so I couldn't get the selections. I will up this file as
soon as they get the race cards up. http://www.laybetting.com/greyhound-lay-selections.htm I
know there are other sites but I prefer using Sportinglife. Please
remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.
Guest
Selection (back 4 profit) This is a new back test. I am going to show
dutching with a £5 stake split between the two bets using my dutch
calculator . http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/dutch-betting-rules.htm
I
am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with
the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the
the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you
can take the next runner in the betting.
Yesterday. 4.10 Muss:
Royal Dignitary EP 1.90 1st 4/5 Boundless Prospect EP 5.5 4th
5/1 There was a NR but it didn't cause a reduction by betfair so I won
£1.90 (minus commission)
Today. 2.50 Bev: Hippolytus EP
2.94 Tartan Gigha EP 4.0
If we win today then my profit will be
in the region of 3.50. (The prices changed up as I put my dutch on so slight
difference in winnings on the two!)
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day.
Bills
321 Lays
Selection 1: ripon 3.50 nevada desert** 1 Selection 2:
4.20 highland love** 1 Selection 3: 4.50 kuriyama** 1 Selection 4:
musselburgh 2.40 thomas malory** 1 Selection 5: 4.10 wind shuffle* 1
Selections 6: southwell 3.00 jord** 1 Selections 7: 4.30 garlogs**
1
Staking: The rule of the 321 staking plan is subjected to the
price of the horses odds on betfair or other exchanges that allow you to lay a
horse.
Odds 0-to 6.0 lay 3pts 6.1 to 10/1 lay 2pts 10.1 to
14 lay 1pt Bills
321 Lays
Malcolm's Selections Best Lay of the
Day Yesterday. 14.40 Muss, Aleatricis 5th 5/2 Today: 18.50
Leic, High Standing
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4
systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip. You
can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the system: 1) Pick more than one race
a day 2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices) 3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners. 4) UK or IRE
races 5) Bonus Systems and regular updates. 6) Now on V4 7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase 8) Owners get free updates 9) Now
includes Lay Place System. 10) Now includes AW System 11) Now includes
the Investment System If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW** You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website. Click here to find out more.
---------------------------------------- Place System: Started
20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only. Points since we started + 70.97 Points new
system (30/07/07) +29.34 Yesterday: No Selections
Today. 15:00, Southwell, Sun Catcher, EP 2.64 16:30, Southwell, Garlogs,
EP 2.06
(*) No bet under new system idea
------------------------------------------
Back test
system Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system
but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how
we are now testing it. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/lay-back-results.htm £10
stakes.
Level
Stakes £-10.82(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008 Using a
staking plan similar to
CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £52.51 (staking running loss 0.00
) Yesterday. 15:00, Bath, Spring Dream EP 2.86 (Staking stake
£64.38) 1st 6/4
Today. 15:40, Muss, Kasumi
EP2.36 Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying
these selections. Other Information I Prefer
betfair.com
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out) If you need help about anything please go to my
support site. If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
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