"Cold Turkey" was a winner yesterday at 6/5.

All weather racing

November is a funny month in the racing calendar, not only do we go from the flat to the national hunt season but the AW comes on line as well, no wonder some pro gamblers just sit this month out!

Horse racing has a tendency to make normally sane people make decisions, that to a qualified watcher would constitute a trip to the funny farm and punters who move over to AW fit this bill pretty well, they at least have the bookies on their side!

All Weather racing began in 1989, in the UK we have 3 AW sand tracks Southwell, Wolverhampton and lingfield, all 3 tracks are just about oval in shape.

A casual thought would probably lead you to the conclusion that although the surface is different, good form shown on firm flat grass should easily transfer to the AW surface.

But as many a punter has found out, this is not the case and the unwary can easily come unstuck while trying to pick a winner from grass form alone.

The rule of AW betting is to ignore any form that is not taken from the same surface, I am not suggesting that a horse that has done well on grass will not do well on sand (although it does happen), but rather it is quite obvious from studying that it will take a couple of races to make the transition.

Another thing to do is look back on last years AW form, many tipsters ignore results back that far, but a horse that had good form last seasons on AW but suffered on the grass, could be back in the running again.

Lets test this theory today…

12.00 Southwell, Dubai Dreams Betting Forecast is 9/1

Please note this is not one of my normal “Ones to Watch” but I have picked it because it could highlight my points above.

Now I don’t think that Dubai Dream will win this race I am pretty sure the favourite Shatin Hero, who has already proved that he can run on this surface will probably take the honours.

I am not convinced that Dangerous Beans has the experience to beat Dubai Dreams on this surface, even though he has run well in his last 2 races at Brighton, he has not proven himself on AW.

Dubai Dreams on the other hand has good AW form especially at Southwell and I think will be relishing the thought of racing this surface again. Although he has had a bad showing on grass all this year, I still think he is capable of a place and so would recommend an Each-way bet especially if you get 9/1!

Please don’t go mad because as I have had already said this is not one of my normal “Ones to watch” it’s just an example for today.

Do you agree?

Have a good days racing.

**Todays tip is from:**

"My Daily Nap"

15:30 Hexham, Rambling Minster

Betting Forecast: 5/4 Decimal 1.25

Early Price: 6/5

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com

Best of Luck

Malcolm