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19th January 2006.


Yesterdays Results
Moon Mist (Miracle System) fell, Diamond Josh (Lay Betting System) came 8th.

http://www.turnerslaytips.co.uk/ won.

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Sorry there is no Bismarx today because there are not enough races meeting the criteria.

Well after losing my work yesterday time to catch up!

So how is our low priced lay system looking?

http://www.adrianmassey.com/db2/dbaccess.php?flat=0

The settings are now

Make sure Clear Favourite is checked.
Select 2004, 2005, 2006
Race Type All National Hunt only and unselect:
Selling Hurdle
Novice Chase
Novice Handicap Chase
Starting Price check 1-2 to 10-11, Evens to 11-8, 6-4 to 15-8

Include List of Selections checked.
(As the maximum number of results you can show is 2000 and we still have 2100 + then I would uncheck this feature for the moment.)
Max Number 2000
Include Breakdown of Results checked
Click Go

You should get
Bets 2147
Wins 881
Win Strike rate 41%

Which is slightly better than the original 42.2%

We took out the above race categories because they were all showing a higher than average success rate as is Novice Hurdle, but it is responsible for 775 of our selections so I am reluctant to lose it at the moment.

We could try a quick experiment here.

Re run the filter page this time putting back in the above race types and then take out Novice Hurdle.

Hmm

We now have
Bets 1884
Wins 769
Strike rate 40.8% slightly better.

Ok leave it like that at the moment and let’s look at some of the other stats.

“Results broken down by Race Distance”
You can see that there is not a lot of differences here but it is strange to see jump races under 2m and as anything over 3m1f has quite a high strike rate, let’s go back and filter them out.
We are now under the 2000 mark so let’s add back in the “Include List of Selections“

It hasn’t made a great difference but I think it reflects more accurately the distances we will see daily.

One more test before we go on, put back in Novice Hurdle and take out the other 3 again.

Now that’s interesting the strike rate has actually gone up to 41.8% since we took at some of the distances, so lets adjust the selection process to reflect this.

Make sure Clear Favourite is checked.
Select 2004, 2005, 2006
Race Type All National Hunt only and unselect:
Novice Hurdle
Starting Price check 1-2 to 10-11, Evens to 11-8, 6-4 to 15-8

Include List of Selections checked.
(up to you)
Max Number 2000
Include Breakdown of Results checked
Click Go

If you look at the “Results Broken Down by Month” table you will see that in June to September the available bet’s go down, this of course is because we are official out of the jump season at this time, so lets see what happens when we take them out.

Bets 1511
Wins 617
Strike rate 40.8% so slightly up.

If you carry on creating your own systems you will know it is all about testing so now we must go back and put all the race types back in.

Back to 42.2%

Now take out:
Selling Hurdle
Novice Chase
Novice Handicap Chase

Down 41.5%

So I think again our best bet is to take out Novice Hurdles only.

So we now have

Make sure Clear Favourite is checked.
Select 2004, 2005, 2006
Uncheck June to September
Race Type All National Hunt only and unselect: Novice Hurdle
Starting Price check 1-2 to 10-11, Evens to 11-8, 6-4 to 15-8
Include List of Selections checked.
(up to you)
Include Breakdown of Results checked
Click Go

I am not sure I will have time tomorrow to continue this article, if not more next week.

Have good day's racing.

Malcolm

Miracle System (win Bet)
13.50 Ludlow, Tamarinbleu, The price is short and Jacks Craic is a possible threat!

http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/betting_exchanges.htm
Place System (on exchanges only)
1 win in the latest run
No Selection Today
We have tried to create a system to go along with My Mathematical Formula:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/My-Mathematical-Formula.htm
If you want to see how we created the system then plese look here: http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/place-system.htm
Sponser of the day (please take a look you never no!)
Got a reliable Internet connection and a couple of hours in the afternoon spare?
Good! Let me teach you how to make £18000 plus, tax free, per year, at home, in front of your PC. No scams, no tricks, no MLM… and you don’t have to even like horse racing.
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"Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
13:20 LUDLOW Jamaaron (V4 Jump)

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk

Advantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Bet on Saturdays and Sundays (no emails from me on these days)
3) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
4) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
5) UK or IRE races
6) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
7) Now on V4
8) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
9) Owners last got an update 22/07/2005
10) Now includes Lay Place System.
11) Now includes AW System
12) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm

**NEW**

You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website...

http://www.laybetting.com/free_tip.htm
o Todays sponser tip


No Selections today.



Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com

Best of Luck

Malcolm

 
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