17th March
2008 Todays ramblings Good Morning.
It was a great Australian
F1 GP (yes I did get up and watch it live) and I am so pleased to see Hamilton
start the season so well, although by the pace of Kimi (mistakes ignored) I
don't think he will have many races that seem that easy, especially as BMW seem
to have a car that can challenge as well.
Some idiot decided to hack the
forum on the weekend, I think we have fixed it now but my apologies if you
tried to have a look but
couldn't.
-----------------------------
Lay test http://www.laybetting.com/2008-lay-test.htm
Friday
was a very profitable day and Saturday got as to within a few pence of our
£60.00 tartget so I think we can say our first pot is complete and we now
have to decide what to do with it.
We started with a bank of £300
and split it into 5 making each pot £60.00. Please remember that I have
been taking the 5% off for Betfairs commission so this is a fair and accurate
test especially as I have been showing the real prices that I have got through
GHB.
So now we have several choices. 1. Divide our new bank by 5
again 2. Just put the complete pot asside so that we have 6 pots to play
with. 3. Take the completed pot as profit and put it in the bank. 4. Put
some of it asside for safe keeping (say 50%) and then add the rest to the
original bank and the divide this by 5.
Which one you choose will depend
on your circumstances, but for this test we are trying to build up our bank, so
my choice is going to take our new bank and divide it by 5
again.
£300 + 59.56 / 5 = 71.92, to make it easy to remember we
will round it down to £70.00 so we have £9.56 safe!
One
thing to remember that since we started testing, so far we have not lost any
more than about 50% of our first pot. Although it took us a little longer than
I was hoping to get our first pot we did get there in the end.
Although
we had to go through two losers, David hasn't he has won constantly using "Stop
at the first winner".
I really do think we have finally come up with a
lay system that although the prices are not very low they are manageable and
you can tell from my own results that we are starting to make
progress.
Anyway we will continue this test for a couple more weeks to
see what happens.
Yesterday (Friday and Saturday)
results 14/03/2008 2.15 Chelt: Silverhand EP 16.5 1oth 12/1 (I
got 16.50)3.67 3.30 Chelt: Exotic Dancer EP 15 5th 17/2 (I got 13) 4.75
5.30 Fak: Schelm EP 70 NR 8.50 Kemp: One To Follow EP 10.5 7th 4/1 (I got
13) 4.75 http://www.laybetting.com/14-03-2008-lay-test.jpg
15/03/2008 3.50 Ling: Maltese
Falcon EP 9 5th 7/1 (I got 9.20) 6.95 5.20 Weth: Tarabaloo EP 1000! 1st 7/2
but this was a definite No bet with 9 nr's and I didn't get a match through
GHB. 8.50 Kemp: Hollywood George EP 55 11th 16/1 (I got 29.00) 2.03 Pot
1 was completed here at £59.56. We have now added this to our original
bank and then divided it by 5 again. Our new pot target is £70.00 http://www.laybetting.com/15-03-2008-lay-test.jpg
Today's 4.30
Wolv: Our Jane EP 1000
Pot 2 now stands at £0.00
(Target £70.00)
I should have time tomorrow to post the tips
to the tips page, but it wont be early! http://www.laybetting.com/2008-lay-test.htm
----------------- New
Greyhound Lay system I had come up with. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/12-03-2008.htm
We
didn't make anything on Friday after we lost again on the first race. But again
the prices were not to bad and we had 4 winners. I want to keep running this
test for a few more days before I begin to decide how to use the selections in
the future.
Yesterday's (Friday's) 15:43, Swin, Westown Pearl
16:54, Swin, Summerfield Top 16:54, Swin, Oldfield Olive 17:18, Monm,
Ingys Aphrodite 17:28, Swin, Knockillon Star http://www.laybetting.com/greyhound-new-14-04-08.JPG (look up the
results)
Here are today's 11:28, Sheff, Honest Regards 12:04,
Swin, Springville Jena 14:18, Wstow, Fools And Horses 14:47, Monm,
Unrealistic 14:47, Monm, Elderberry Polly 17:22, Monm, Hamilton
Hocks Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules
yet.
Guest Selection I have a couple of guest selections
lined up for you. The first is from "Wrightyoh"
"After reading and
studying numerous laying guides and ideas I have come up with a system using
the racing post forecast favourites. In a nutshell this is done by comparing
the forecast favourite with the other runners and trying to find at least two
other runners that have a good chance of beating the forecast favourite. I am
not just looking at negative factors for the favourite but comparing these
factors against the other runners. The races I select need to have 7 runners or
more for the sake of probability and are usually hcps. "
Wrightyoh is
testing two systems but there won't always be a selection on both
systems. Yesterday Sys 1. No Bet Sys 2 No
Bet
Today Sys 1 No Bet Sys 2 No Bet
Remember these
are "Lay" selections. Sponsors of the day Sponsor
product of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
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----------------------------- Sponsor Tip of the
day.
Luv2lose
Comments for today: The weights favour BLUE SKY THINKING who did so
well at this level last spring but he is returning from another substantial
absence today. Red Rudy has been running well over much shorter but this trip
is as far as he cares to go and preference is for Royal Embrace who had quite a
decent winter and is at home over this C&D.
Nap (Lay) Selection 1:
Wolverhampton 14:30 BLUE SKY THINKING
Stop at a Winner (lay)
Selection 1: Wolverhampton 17:00 BRAVE HAWK Luv2Lose
Malcolm's Selections Best Lay of the Day Yesterday: no
nap Today: Sorry no nap again today.
Please Note: The lay
betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the
selections for this tip. You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the system: 1) Pick more than one race
a day 2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices) 3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners. 4) UK or IRE
races 5) Bonus Systems and regular updates. 6) Now on V4 7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase 8) Owners get free updates 9) Now
includes Lay Place System. 10) Now includes AW System 11) Now includes
the Investment System If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW** You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website. Click here to find out more.
---------------------------------------- Place System: Started
20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only. Points since we started + 77.12 Points new
system (30/07/07) + 35.68 Yesterday: (Friday) 14:00, Lingfield,
Seductive Witch, EP 2.1 2nd ( a nr would have made this less we say
1.5) 16:15, Fakenham Jewel Song, EP 2.1 5th 20:50, Kempton, Lorikeet EP
2.38 2nd Today. 15:00, Wolverhampton, Franksalot, EP 2.5 16:50,
Taunton, Beat The System EP 3.05 (*) 17:00, Wolverhampton, Forsyte Saga, EP
2.04(*) (*) No bet under new system idea
------------------------------------------
Back test
system Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system
but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how
we are now testing it. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/lay-back-results.htm £10
stakes.
Level
Stakes £16.81(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008 Using a
staking plan similar to
CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/11/2008.
Bank(staking plan) - £-30.00 Yesterday. 14:15, Chel,
Franchoek EP 2.52 (still at Cheltenham today) 2nd eves (stake 20.00)
Today. 14:20, Tntn, I Predict
A Riot EP 1.79
Remember this is just a
test and we are paper testing laying these selections.
Other
Information I Prefer
betfair.com
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out) If you need help about anything please go to my
support site. If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/ We make every
effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses
incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information
provided. This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or
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can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.
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