16th September 2006
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
Another nice winner for "Millionaires's Row"
yesterday. On betfair Mr Excel was around 11.00 in the morning but you could
have easily got 8.00 during the day a little more than the 5/1 at the bookies.
On the other hand we are still on a roller coaster ride with the
"Best Lay of the Day" with another loser yesterday. I can feel this
being hard work this month but I want to turn it around.
There are 4
meetings today 3 Jumps from
Hereford,
Market Rasen and
Wincanton and
1 AW from Wolverhampton.
The last couple of weeks we have been trying to find
value in betting on the exchange place market. If you want to pick up this
thread and read what we have discussed so far, then please go to the email
archives
here, and start at the
30/10/2006.
Yesterday. 12.50 Hexham, Young Albert
EP 1.09 (3 places) 2nd 13.30 Southwell, Flint River EP 1.48 (3 places)
4th 14.40 Wawick, Scarlet Mix EP 1.31 (3 places) 1st 15.45 Kempton,
Eccollo EP 1.2 (3 places) 1st 16.50 Kempton, Salsa Steps EP 1.3 (3 places)
NR
We had one loser and one NR to spoil the show yesterday. Using the
staking plan would have put us back in profit on the 14.40 though.
Here
are today's 13.50 Hereford, 7/4 Brave Villa EP 1.4 (2 places) 14.00
Wincanton, Kawagino EP 1.33 (2 places) 14.30 Wincanton, Almost Broke EP 1.34
(3 places) 17.20 Wolvehampton, Mantle EP 1.06 (3
places)
----------------- Isn't it strange how you can sometimes
think something is doing well and then when you go to check the back on the
results it shows a different story.
Take the "Racing Post - win
selections" we have been trying for the last couple of months. I thought
with close to a 50% (sometimes anyway) strike rate it seemed to be doing ok but
yesterday I put together all the selections which you can see
here. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/RP-naptest.htm
I
haven't added up the points yet but judging by the prices, I bet you had a
better chance at making money at level stakes if you lay, instead of backing
and with the low prices a lay staking system wouldn't be that dangerous.
What
really stood out for me is that you seem to get a couple of winners then a
couple of losers. The longest winning run was 2 where as the longest losing run
was 4, although I did have a holiday in between those selections so really our
longest consistent losing run is 3 which we are on at the moment.
I am
still adding the "Racing Post - win selections" to the
miracle system for information but I am a little disappointed
with the results considering the short prices. I think I will be laying these
in future!
2. Racing Post -win selections (racing post -
racing- tipsters-naps- Today's best Bet's)
The suggestion is that if the
horse is trading under evens (2.0) then no bet.
Yesterday: 12.50 Hexham,
Young Albert 2nd 2/7
Results: (21 winners 26 loser so far)
Today's: 13.50 Hereford, Brave Villa
3. Guest Selection -
started 23-10-2006 These are lay test selections from Thomas. NO
BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair Wednesday's (15 Nov 2006) Warw
1310 - Just Superb - 9th (fell) - SP 11/1 - Betfair 14.5 - no bet Warw
1510 - Zimbabwe - 7th - SP 9/1 - Betfair 11.5 - no bet Kemp 1620 - Quality
Street - 9th - SP 16/1 - Betfair 26.0 - no bet
Here are today's (16 ov
2006) Here 1520 - Major Blue Mark 1540 - Tetragon Wolv 1620 -
Foreign Edition Wolv 1650 - Mandriano Wolv 1750 - Street Warrior
Wolv 1820 - Jeu D'Esprit Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec
before the off.
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Yesteday: 15.45 Kempton, Eccollo 1st
1/2
Today: 13.50 Hereford, Brave Villa
You can purchase this
system here:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/miracle-system-06-payment.htm
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
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6. "Best Lay of the
Day" - Lay
Betting System Bet
Yesterday: 15:30 SOUTHWELL Jordan´s
Light 1st 7/4
Today: 15:20 HEREFORD Anflora
Please
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the
system:
1) Pick more than one race a day 2) Make a selection later
in the day (normally more choices) 3) Password protected forum so you can
talk to other owners. 4) UK or IRE races 5) Bonus Systems and regular
updates. 6) Now on V4 7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase 8)
Owners get free updates 9) Now includes Lay Place System. 10) Now
includes AW System 11) Now includes the Investment System If you own
your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting
System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW**
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website. Click here to find out more. 7. Today's sponsor tip
The Bismarx (BVR)
As at 8 o'clock this morning the
following horses were identified as within Bismarx range. Watch for market
changes before the race. Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where
non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race. Generally do not
lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the
other runner's. Quit when your profit target has been reached.
Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.
13.10 MR PRO DANCER @2.7 13.25 Clon LE TOSCAN @1.7 14.40 MR ESPIRIT
SAINT @2.7 15.00 Winc BOLD FIRE @2.2 15.40 MR TASHKANDI @2.7
The Bismarx (BVR) Now you can run the bismarx automated
with the Bismarx
Bot
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System
started 07/11/2006. After playing around with selections I have
decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I
have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect
there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that
will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to
record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are
from the original and tighter system.
Yesterdays: Hall Green BAGS,
11.03, Perpetual Bliss, Trap 2 5th 7/2 (5.50) Brough Park BAGS, 11.42,
Coolemount Mandy, Trap 1 1st 5/1 (7.0) Brough Park BAGS, 12.42, Soft Goal,
Trap 5 * 4th 3/1 (4.50) Hall Green BAGS, 12.47, Duncarbit Tex, Trap 6 * 5th
3/1 (7.0 ) Hall Green BAGS, 13.19, Dundee Dave, Trap 3 * 1st 7/2 ( 4.5)
Brough Park BAGS, 13.27, Tupacs Ho, Trap 3 * 2nd 7/2 (6.0 ) Hove BAGS,
14.47, Clairekeith Boy, Trap 6 5th 5/4 (2.5 ) Hove BAGS, 16.27, Vanity
Fair, Trap 5 1st 5/2 (3.5 ) Hove BAGS, 17.58, Easter Present, Trap 4 2nd
7/2 (4.5 ) Perry Barr BAGS, 18.04, Frozen Ice, Trap 6 * 1st 2/1 (3.5 )
Hove BAGS, 18.11, Downland Pizzaro, Trap 2 4th 6/4 (2.5 )
After a full
winning day on Tuesday it was a bit of a mixed day yesterday and I was
certainly down at level stakes. I am wondering if I should bring the top end
down to 6.00. I would have missed two bets yesterday but one of those was a
loser. It is good to see that most of the selections are 6.00 or under
though.
Today's Sunderland BAGS, 11.34, Leaha Selina, Trap 1
Sheffield BAGS, 11.57, Tismessylike, Trap 6 Sunderland BAGS, 12.18,
Morarless, Trap 3 Sheffield BAGS, 12.27, Laddie Mactaz, Trap 4 *
Sunderland BAGS, 12.32, Tobar Leigh Spot, Trap 2 Sheffield BAGS, 12.58,
Lunar Prince, Trap 5 Sunderland BAGS, 13.19, Anactor, Trap 5 Sheffield
BAGS, 14.03, Everilgate Pete, Trap 3 Romford BAGS, 14.08, Clounamon Cheeko,
Trap 3 Romford BAGS, 14.47, Maries Bert, Trap 2 * Romford BAGS, 15.07,
Donnas Playgirl, Trap 3 Crayford BAGS, 15.17, Pishiobury Pinto, Trap 5
Romford BAGS, 15.28, Grenrose Lilly, Trap 4 * Crayford BAGS, 16.37, Darcol
Danger, Trap 3 Romford BAGS, 16.48, Springwood Peg, Trap 5 Romford
BAGS, 17.07, Clap The Throw, Trap 5 Crayford BAGS, 17.17, Black Dicaprio,
Trap 2 * Romford BAGS, 17.44, Jeddies Banker, Trap 2 Crayford BAGS,
17.48, Coronea Spiral, Trap 6 Crayford BAGS, 18.04, Fawkham Rose, Trap
4 There are plenty today.
I am using my latest bot under test
called greyhound2 and setting a price of between 2.00 and 7.00,
8. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections
started 13/11/2006 This is a win system (test) that me and a friend
have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every
morning so although we created the system together he is the one really
refining it.
Points + 8.75
Yesterday: 14.00 Southwell, Spunger
6th 3/1 /Mr Excel 1st 5/1
Today's: 3.10 M.R. Master Papa/Supreme
Tadgh
Use 50/50 if you can make profit whatever the outcome. I am using
1pt on each selection.
Please tell your friends about this
daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days racing and a great
weekend.
Malcolm Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com http://www.laybetting.com http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/
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