16th April
2008 Todays ramblings Good Morning.
We have a few more "New Lay Test" selections today so I
am hoping we can make up a bit more ground., especially if we can get some good
prices.
I mentioned yesterday that I was playing around with a staking
idea with greyhounds yesterday and so far it seemed to go quite well but it
will need a lot more work.
I am actually taking the idea that Greyhound
favourites do not win that often, but you can have runs where you may get 3 or
4 winning. So with the new Excel function in
GHB I can play
around if all sorts of ideas depending on results and how much has been
lost.
To me this is one of the most exciting features we have added to
GHB in some time and
along with other Auto settings it's giving me the chance to play around with
plenty of idea.
We are hoping that we can officially launch the new
version of GHB
today.
http://www.greyhorsebot.co.uk/ -------------------------------------- Darren
from the
Betting School. Multiples
I know a lot of people dismiss
multiple type bets as bad value and just for suckers. I though the same for a
long while but my eyes have been opened to the potential of these bets over the
last few years by the expert writers that we employ at the Betting School.
Of course for the football pro's it wasn't so long ago that they had
to bet in multiples in the bad old days before Betting Exchanges.
Both
Tony Gibson and Michael Wilding have proposed a closer look at multiple bets in
recent articles and it is plain to see that there is value to be had. When you
combine together value bets you multiply that value.
Recently Michael
shared the calculation for working out value odds for Exacta bets. With the
Exacta you have to find the first two home in the correct order. It's a bet
that I've not tried to win with since my days at the greyhound track where the
track tote was my only involvement.
Of course by design these bets are
going to be at higher odds and so losing spells will be longer before the win
comes in, but to offset this more than one bet can be made in each race as long
as the value remains.
The steps to success are...
1. Create
your own odds line or use one from a trusted source 2. Calculate the value
odds according to your odds for the Exacta 3. Combine with more
alternatives if there will still be value.
There is plenty of free
information for all three steps available online. So my message today is
investigate different types of bets that you may have discounted previously.
You can register for a free sample copy of the
Betting
School Insiders Report at: http://www.laybetting.com/go_bet-school.htm
----------------- New
Lay Test http://www.laybetting.com/2008-lay-test.htm
Yesterday's 4.50
Nott: Coin of the Realm EP 26 2nd 18/1 (we got 26)
Today's 2.35
Newm: Asaint Needs Brass EP 14.5 3.55 Bev: Keisha Kayleigh EP 14.5 4.20
Newm: Yahrab EP 15.00 4.30 Bev: Dubai Petal EP 4.9 7.50 Wolv: Mujahope
EP 12.00 Pot 2 now stands at £-164.11
(Target £70.00) ----------------- New Greyhound Lay system I
had come up with. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/12-03-2008.htm
After
some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in
Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a
little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan.
Easy day again
yesterday
Yesterday's I will start showing all selections now but
please remember that some of the late races may not appear on Betfair.
11:19, Nott, Threeinabed 14:08, Crayfd, Southeast Zero 15:07, Crayfd,
Sailbythestars 15:58, Sund, Kiel Major 16:47, Crayfd, Shes Some
Class 16:57, Sund, Durham Lady 17:56, Crayfd, Crossfield Okee
18:04, Sund, Oklahoma Timmy 18:04, Sund, Sir Knight 18:56, Sheff,
Rooster Revenge 19:06, Hove, Wigwam Woman 19:11, Sheff, Miss Mandy
19:37, Hove, Beat The Bullet 19:53, Hove, Humming Heiress 20:14, Sheff,
Alchemist Wish 20:19, Newc, Dornans Rocket 20:24, Hove, Blakes King
20:36, Newc, Geordie Tom 20:57, Hove, Ballytag Rose 21:22, Newc, All
Jazzed Up 21:33, Sheff, Clash Fizz 21:.4, Newc, Bold Willy Allen
22:23, Sheff, Kirstys Pie 22:23, Sheff, Pillow Powder http://www.laybetting.com/greyhound-new-15-04-08.JPG
Here
are today's
11:03, HGrn, Break Off 12:47, HGrn, Jenson Berry
12:58, Newc, Stobysbesthoncho 14:08, Hove, Keanos Droopy 14:47, Hove,
Winfield Rose 15:58, Oxfd, Spike Preview 17:22, Hove, Maui Makena
18:11, Hove, Physco Sis 19:58, Sund, Bears Jill 20:24, BVue, Ashpit
Rouge 21:07, Swin, Danesford Wish 21:31, Sund, Swanson Yok
Please remember this is a new test and there are no rules yet.
Guest Selection Andrew lays
Yesterday No tips
yesterday
Today. 16.30 Bev, William Blake EP 1.93
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Luv 2
Lose
Comments for today: Possible lay tips are a little thin on the
ground today so I will have to settle for the evening racing. Shunkawakhan
finally got his head in front last time and although he is not the most likely
candidate to follow up he is several pounds better off than JUZILLA and has
more ticks in the right boxes.
Nap (Lay) Selection 1:
Wolverhampton 19:20 JUZILLA Luv 2 Lose
Malcolm's Selections Best Lay of the
Day Yesterday. 16.30 War, Moheebb 3rd 10/3 Today: No nap
today.
Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1
and I will choose one of the selections for this tip. You can purchase
the system formula: http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the system: 1) Pick more than one race
a day 2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices) 3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners. 4) UK or IRE
races 5) Bonus Systems and regular updates. 6) Now on V4 7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase 8) Owners get free updates 9) Now
includes Lay Place System. 10) Now includes AW System 11) Now includes
the Investment System If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW** You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website. Click here to find out more.
---------------------------------------- Place System: Started
20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only. Points since we started + 71.08 Points new
system (30/07/07) + 29.10 Yesterday: 14:30, Warwick, Fuaigh Mor EP
2.84 (*) 1st 15:00, Warwick, Right Price, EP 3.0 (*) 7th 16:30, Warwick,
Cheshire Prince, EP 2.06 (*) 7th Today. 17:40, Beverley, Brave
Boogie, EP 2.8 (*) (*) No bet under new system idea
------------------------------------------
Back test
system Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system
but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how
we are now testing it. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/lay-back-results.htm £10
stakes.
Level Stakes £42.23
(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008 Using a staking plan similar to
CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £45.02 (no staking as we are in
profit) Yesterday. 16:20, Nott, Jaser EP 2.38 1st 6/4
Today. 16:20, NmkR, Kandahar Run
EP 2.54
Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying
these selections. Other Information I Prefer
betfair.com
"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out) If you need help about anything please go to my
support site. If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
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