13th June
2008 Todays ramblings Good Morning.
Another good day on the Guest
back and lay selections yesterday with both winning again.
I think I am going to break my
Saturday rule with these two (I hope I don't regret that one) and also bet on
tomorrows.
It's quite interesting because
at the moment I am running 3 systems on one test bank, which I don't normally
do, but I want to play around with some ideas based on the profit over all 3
systems.
I am at the moment doing the two
guest selections using £5 liability on each and I am doing really small
stakes with the New Greyhound Lay system, which from today, I am going to start
using the
Cashmaster (I wrote an excel spreadsheet to work with GHB,
but you will have to ask Graham at
cashmaster for it, because it is his staking plan) staking
plan with but I am going to stop at a profit of 3 times my stake, because it is
quite aggressive.
What I want to work out is how
to change the stake on each selection everytime the bank increases, which at
the moment is every day!
Yesterday my bank increased by
3.36 over the 3 systems, ok I know this isn't much at the moment but it does
mean I could take a % of this profit and increase my stakes on all 3 systems or
I could choose a % of the bank for each selection and just re calculate this
every day?
If you take the back and lay
horse racing selections then I am actually using over 10% of the bank on each,
which is far higher than I normally would. But as this is a test I am being
less lenient on myself than I normally would. What I think I am going to do
though is keep these two at £5 until I have a bank of £50 then I
will change to 10% of the bank for my liability on each selection, dropping
this back down to £5 if the bank should drop below £50
The greyhound selections are a
little trickier because the
Cashmaster staking system can get a little aggressive so 3
losers in a row could get expensive but at the same time I want to keep going
until I get 3 losers so I may use a stupidly low figure for staking of say 0.2%
of my bank. I know this sounds a low but we are also going for 3 x our stake
profit so we should be contributing 0.5% or more to the bank every day.
Anyway I will try this for a
week and see what happens.
If you are a subscriber to
GHB I am going to
start putting the session file up for you (mon to fri) http://www.greyhorsebot.co.uk/session/session3.xml
The settings in this session
file are odds 1 to 6.00 and 0.10 stake so you may want to use your own stake
settings, which you should do anyway because I could make a mistake!
We have had a lot of request for
further information about the back/lay4profit selections but we just want to
test them for a couple of more weeks before we decide what to do with them.
Don't forget to sign up so you
get the Saturday selections http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/bet4profit.htm
Have a great
weekend. -------------------- Darren Power is the Editor of the
Betting
School Laying Longshots
I hear from a lot of people who lay big
outsiders in the Betfair horse racing markets at ridiculous prices. They tell
me how they never win and that it's easy money. Generally these gamblers think
that the outcome is so unlikely that they are prepared to risk a large
proportion of their betting bank on each bet.
After the initial
bullishness usually one of two things happen.
They either disappear to
never be heard from again or the ones that are more committed come back to tell
me how they learned their lesson.
The lesson is that if you are not
striking a value bet you will lose in the long run and if you are laying at
100.0 on a 34.0 chance then sooner or later you will lay a winner and at those
prices the unprepared will lose their bank.
I read a little factoid
the other day which I thought illustrated this well.
Back in 1962 a
guy called into the head quarters of William Hill and asked for odds on a human
being walking on the surface of the moon before 1970.
He was quoted
1,000/1 and placed a £10 bet which was more than a weeks wages. The rest
as they say is history.
The lesson is that 1,000/1 shots can win and
that you should always have the value on your side and have a bank that will
cope with a losing bet even when you think its impossible to lose.
Darren Power is the Editor of
the Betting School Insiders Report which is dedicated to helping you to profit
from your betting. You can register for a free sample copy of the report at
http://www.laybetting.com/go_bet-school.htm
----------------- New Greyhound Lay system I had come up with. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/12-03-2008.htm
After
some thought I think that the only way to run this system is as a "Stop in
Profit". I am going to keep the maximum odds set to 6.00 and I am going to be a
little naughty and add in a lay ladder staking plan. If you are a subscriber
to GHB I am going to
start putting the session file up for you (mon to fri) http://www.greyhorsebot.co.uk/session/session3.xml The
settings in this session file are odds 1 to 6.00 and 0.10 stake so you may want
to use your own stake settings, which you should do anyway because I could make
a mistake!
Yesterday's. 13:04,
Sund, Rainham Lady 13:33, Sund, Jubilee Ace, 13:44, Sheff, Locnamon
Alice 13:51, Sund, Twilight Chief 14:18, Crayfd, Stisted Leeds 14:27,
Romfd, Baby Bucket 15:28, Romfd, Pretty Miss 16:57, Crayfd, Angel
Princess 17:17, Crayfd, Too Much Lolly 17:56, Romfd, Classy
Deposit 19:58, Newc, Ludworth Tucker 20:22, Sittb, Ascot Ted 20:51,
Sittb, Tommys Legend
I started the selections late
yesterday and then forgot to get a screenshot. I started at about 14.27 had 2
losers and then won and stopped on the next win. Not sure what happened to
everyone else.
Today's.
11:19, HGrn, Lagganmore
Power 11:42, Wstow, Granary Girl 13:19, HGrn, King Speaker 14:18,
Monm, Elderberry Nemo 15:48, Swin, Tropical Fantasy 15:58, Monm,
Elderberry Paris 16:18, Monm, Mineola Nike, L 16:57, Monm, Tyrur
Rocky 16:57, Monm, Ninja Jamie 16:57, Monm, Marbeck Wonder 17:17,
Monm, Pond Gallileo 17:22, Swin, Honey Pearl 17:22, Swin, Coran
Singer 17:33, Monm, Terrydrum Circle 17:56, Swin, Flying Back
18:18, Monm, Rest De Best 19:06, Nott, Corleones Spark 19:22, Nott,
Rathorpe Prince 20:22, Nott, Forlovenotmoney 21:07, Nott, Ballyea
Honcho 22:22, Nott, Hansom Commander 22:23, Sheff, Lisnakill Franny
Please remember this is a new test (well not that new!) and there are
no rules yet, in fact the only rule I can think of is maybe miss races where
there are two selections.
Guest Selection (back 4
profit)
This is a new back test. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/bet4profit.htm
I
am going to show dutching with a £5 stake split between the two bets
using my dutch calculator . http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/dutch-betting-rules.htm
I
am not sure about NR's, the favourite does tend to win most of the time, with
the second favourite about a 3rd of the time so it could be worth backing the
the second if the favourite is a NR. If the second favourite is a NR then you
can take the next runner in the betting.
Yesterday. 7.15 Uttox:
Double Mead EP 2.00 2nd 13/8 Lord Alfred EP 8.2 1st 10/3
There was a NR is this race but
I didn't get a reduction in price so I won £3.04 on a £5.00
dutch.
Today. 6.05 Aint: Mutual Friend EP 2.34 Saviour Sand EP
4.2 If either win today I should get another £2.5 profit.
New Lay Test (lay 4 Profit) I
am just taking £5.00 and dividing it by the odds to get my stake.
Yesterday. 2.50 Yar: Silver
Thatch EP 17.00 7th 14/1
Today. .3.35 M.R.
Anticipating EP 5.8
Sponsors of the day
Sponsor product of the day
(please take a look you never
Know!) ----------------------------------------------------------------
Want to try something a little different? Virtual Football may be just what
you are looking for...
Click Here to read more
----------------------------- Sponsor Tip of the
day.
Gray's
Lay's
Comments for today: 2 horses today ORMELLO 1945 Aintree and OH
SO SAUCY 2115 Chepstow both 1/2 a point. Good Luck Graham and Brian
Selection 1: 1945 Aintree Ormello Selection 2: 2115 Chepstow Oh So
Saucy
Gray's Lay's
Malcolm's Selections
Best Lay of the
Day Yesterday. 15.35 Hayd, Rash Judgement 6th 3/1 Today:
15.5 Sand, Mexican Venture
Please Note: The lay betting system is
actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this
tip. You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
Advantages of owning the system: 1) Pick more than one race
a day 2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices) 3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners. 4) UK or IRE
races 5) Bonus Systems and regular updates. 6) Now on V4 7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase 8) Owners get free updates 9) Now
includes Lay Place System. 10) Now includes AW System 11) Now includes
the Investment System If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW** You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website. Click here to find out more.
---------------------------------------- Place System: Started
20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only. Points since we started + 62.40 Points new
system (30/07/07) +23.95 Yesterday: 14:30, Haydock, Kings House
EP2.36 4th 14:50, Yarmouth, Debbys Boy EP 3.55 2nd 15:50, Newbury, Rosa
Grace EP 2.22 (*) 1st 17:15, Haydock, Bajan Parkes EP 2.22 8th 18:30,
Fontwell, Comeintothespace EP 2.82 (*) 8th 19:30, Fontwell, Contra Mundum EP
2.82 (*) 4th 20:30, Fontwell, Good Old Dayss EP 3.2 (*) 5th 21:00,
Fontwell, Allez Melina EP 4.00 (*) 7th
Today. 15:25, York, Four
Miracles EP 2.34 17:15, Market, Galapagos Islands EP 2.08 18:30,
Chepstow, Hay Fever EP 2.22 (*) 19:35, Chepstow, Purely By Chance EP 2.4
(*) 21:15, Chepstow, Finsbury EP 2.8s (*) No bet under new system
idea
------------------------------------------
Back test
system Started 13/12/2007. We orginally tested this as a "lay" system
but I felt the results were better suited to a "Back" system and so that is how
we are now testing it. http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/lay-back-results.htm £10
stakes.
Level
Stakes £-11.86(after 5% commision) Started 25/01/2008 Using a
staking plan similar to
CashMaster, started 11/3/2008 after a win on the 10/3/2008.
Bank(staking plan) + £58.94 (staking running loss 3.07
) Yesterday. 14:40, Newb, Ghaidaa EP 1.73 (no staking price is under
2.00) 1st 1/2
Today. 17:05, York, Tcherina
EP 4.6s Remember this is just a test and we are paper testing laying
these selections. Other Information I Prefer
betfair.com

"The Deadly Sins of Gambling" (make sure you check these
out) If you need help about anything please go to my
support site. If you
haven't joined Betfair yet then when you do enter the code 7TUN3TCFP
this will also give you £20 when you have reached 50 betfair
points.

Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/ We make every
effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses
incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information
provided. This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or
start at anytime, the sponsor of the tip can change at anytime. You
can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.
|