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12th December 2007
Todays ramblings
Good Morning.
First of all I set
myself a limit of the maximum odds I will take. Now you have to look at the
tips because if the average odds are 25/1 but you will not bet over 20/1 then
you will really limit yourself.
I tend to take the average odds as a
good starting place then I get a bank of say £200 and split this into 10
which is £20 a bet.
As I said I start of by cheating and I bet
below £2.00 on betfair if I have to.
http://www.laybetting.com/under-2-betfair.htm
So
I take my £20 and divide it by the available odds.
So lets say we
only had 24.00 available.
20.00 / 23.00 (24.00-1) = 0.87
So my
bet is 87p.
Ok I know this is small and hardly worth it but I am using
this to get me used to the odds and the bets. I could change any of the figures
and after every winning day you can re-calculate your bank so to have a bit
more to work with.
Also by using such a small part of your bank for
liability you have some spare if you have a loser.
Another trick I try
is, if the odds are higher than I want to take then I will put a bet into the
market anyway. You will be surprised how often you can get a match even though
the odds don't reflect the price you asked for.
So what do we do if we
lose?
As Psycho said in his article although you could have 2 losers in
a row at these odds it is very unlikely but it is more likely that you will
have a few if not more winners before your next loser.
So you now have 3
choices.
1. Re adjust your stakes based on the loss
2. Ignore the loss
and take your next £20 and see if you can make up the loss before the
next one, which is likely.
3. Introduce a loss recovery idea.
Now any
loss recovery idea at these odds are going to be dangerous so you need to
really be careful.
Here is how I do it...
First of all I decide
on a figure that I feel represents a number of wins in a row I am likely to
have.
Now going back to our example of The Almost Certain Nap.
http://www.thealmostcertainnap.co.uk/
It
was the 11th May this year after 147 selections we had our first
loser.
Loss at 148
Loss at 177
Loss at 187
Loss at 195
Loss
at 250
Loss at 306
Loss at 344
The worse case scenario above was 7
wins in between two losers, which is a good place to start.
We could use
7 races to try and make up the loses knowing that we are likely to have a run
of 7 before the next loser if not more.
This is still a risky strategy
and you may want to take a lot higher number accepting that along the way you
may lose a bit more but somewhere along the line you should get a long enough
winning run to make it up.
Whenever I am dealing with selections like
this I know that it is going to be difficult to make 1000's in returns, but
they do make nice investment selections and I can normally do far better than
the banks can offer, which you need to offset the risk involved.
--------------------------
A reader named Gary.
These are for laying, I
do suggest people only do this on paper for the moment, since it is still in
testing. However results have been very positive so far, it has had 1 or 2 bad
days, but has recovered them quite quickly:
Laying:
11.19 Hall
Green BAGS Scouser Fran 2
11.34 Hall Green BAGS Stormy Mia 2
11.48 Hall
Green BAGS Look Out Kid 5
12.04 Hall Green BAGS Jumping Queen 4
12.18
Hall Green BAGS Templewood Black 1
12.27 Newcastle BAGS Jason And Rodger
3
14.03 Newcastle BAGS Yonnas Journey 2
14.47 Hove BAGS Cushie Kay
2
15.58 Oxford BAGS Clear Tone 3
16.18 Oxford BAGS Sober Rocket 2
17.07 Hove BAGS Canadian Kitty 5
17.44 Hove BAGS Black Precious 1
17.58
Hove BAGS Allwhite Mona 4
18.11 Hove BAGS Raithby Stumpy 3
18.39
Sunderland BAGS Maryville Tess 3
19.11 Sunderland BAGS Mays Blackie 3
19.58 Sunderland BAGS Mackem Bonny 4
20.09 Belle Vue BAGS Pioneer Doll
4
20.31 Sunderland BAGS Farloe Dragon 1
20.47 Sunderland BAGS Fleeced
Ed 3
21.17 Sunderland BAGS Tapachula 3
22.3 Sunderland BAGS Market
James 5
There is no staking involved just level stakes.
2.
Guest Selection - Brian's and Graham's win tips.
Brian and Graham's
win tips are shortish priced but very consistent.
Yesterday.
No
selection
Here are today's (win bets)
1430 South DART betfair 1.64
1820 Kemp DOCTOR ROBERT betfair 4
3. Place System (win Bet) -
Started 20-11-2006
This is a
Betting
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9. 3
Place 8 runner races only.
Points since we started + 55.48
Points new
system (30/07/07) + 19.89
Yesterday:
12:00, Southwell, My Kaiser
Chief EP 2.6 5th
Today.
13.00 Soutwell, Little Finch EP 2.4
(*)
13:10, Leicester, Arthurs Dream, EP 3.00 (*)
14:10, Leicester, Roznic
EP 2.74 (*)
20:20, Kempton, Strut The Stage EP 2.06
(*) No bet
under new system idea
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Yesterday:
Normal: 13:20, Sedgefield, Ten Carat 3rd 7/2
Pts 2007: -0.10
Top Choice: 13:00, Southwell, Quiet Times 75pts
3rd 8/13
Pts 2007: +0.70
Bank =622.99
Today:
Normal: 13:10, Leicester, Earlsfield Raider
Top Choice: 14:30,
Southwell, Dart 100 pts
(we are trying an experiment with the Top
Choice selection and the points are based on where we are in the staking plan.
25pts is the level stakes bet and we started with a 500pts bank on the
22/06/2007)
You can purchase this system here:
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com/miracle-system-06-payment.htm
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low
risk Amazing staking plans.
Click Here to read
more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" -
Lay Betting
System Bet
Yesterday:
14.50 Sedg, Fakima PU 10/3
Today: 14.40 Leic, Zorro De La Vega
Please Note: The lay betting
system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for
this tip.
You can purchase the system formula:
http://www.makeyourhorseracingpay.co.uk
 Advantages of owning the system:
1) Pick more than one race
a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3)
Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE
races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3
systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now
includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes
the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money
by promoting the "Lay Betting System"
http://www.laybettingsystem.co.uk/affiliate.htm
**NEW**
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
Triple
Treats
Triple -Treat: 2.30 South, Dart (back)
Use the second
favourite (next shortish priced) before the off as the lay.
Backing
& Laying (tip 1)
Race:12.40 Leic
Back: Downs Folly
Lay:
Leoplod
Staking: All Systems.
40% of your normal stake on the back
and 60% on the lay.
If you normally stake £10 then put £4.0 on
the back and £6.0 on the lay
Triple Treats
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay
System started 07/11/2006.
Sorry no more Greyhound Selections
after 6 months of testing!
If you subscribe to the
Grey Horse bot then you can still
load the session file in.
http://www.laybetting.com/session.xml
Or there are still a few copies of the system left.
http://www.laybetting.com/mals-grey-sys.htm
Please tell your friends about
this daily tip and pass on my URL
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
Have a good days
racing.
Malcolm
Malcolm@horseracingsystemsuk.com
http://www.laybetting.com
http://www.horseracingsystemsuk.com
P.S. How about something different...
http://www.greyhoundlaysystem.co.uk/
We make every
effort to supply high quality tips, but we cannot be responsible for any losses
incurred by any persons using these tips or any of the information
provided.
This tip is provided FREE and in good faith. It can stop or
start at anytime, the sponsor of the tip can change at anytime.
You
can use it on your website but all links must be kept in place.
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