20th December 2006
Just 3 more day's and a nice break. Well I say "break"
but my list of things that I need to do during this time, is growing longer
The place system (3) we have been running has been doing very
well lately but I will admit my selection system, still needs work because
sometimes I am just using my experience, rather than firm rules. This is
something to work on next year but still nice to see how it has improved since
Carrying on from
Yesterday we won again but to be honest it
was only because I increased the stop loss after the loser we had on the 13.04,
to about 65.00 after the bot stopped at 57.00.
Although we didn't have
more than one loser at a time the gradual increase in the losses added up,
which is always a problem with a scratch back system. I should know I have been
using them for quite a long time, but showing you what can happen in a real
life situation, should help you get a better understanding.
A couple of
things come to light from yesterday and are worth discussing.
is the % of my bank we are using, which I have said all along is to high and
yesterday proved it. The next bet after the loss of 57.92 left me with just
4.04 in the bank. If we would have lost again it would have been total
Howard's idea of using 0.5% of your bank would have worked out
a lot better, even if you still went for 3 wins a day making a total of 1.5% a
This is difficult when you only have a bank under £200 as I
have, but if you want to make a profit in the long term, then you will have to
lower the risk and this is the best way of doing it.
The "Stop Loss" is
the difficult one to decide on and it would be much easier to work out, if we
were being more sensible with our daily stake. We could then probably set a
level that would allow us a few losses, without putting our bank in severe
Just remember if you can grow your bank even by 0.5% a day,
this would probably out perform in one month, what any other type of risky
investment could do in a year.
Although by adjusting the "Stop Loss"
yesterday we got back in to profit I still want to take it into consideration
and see if we can get it all back before another loss.
So today I want
to adjust our stake back down to 2.00, because you need to adjust for the loss.
My bank today is actually a little less that it shows in the screen
shot because I was trading on the football last night and although I had a
couple of good wins, I lost on one match when I layed the draw and then didn't
get an opportunity to trade out.
The bank was still up on where it
started yesterday morning, which is always a good thing.
Stop Win: 2.00 x 3 = 6.00 (take it down to
Stop Loss: 2.00 x 25 = 50.00
running loss - 57.00
Screen shot of option settings.
Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair
Tuesday's (19 Dec
Sout 1310 - Green Day Packer - 5th - SP 10/1 - Betfair 13.5 - no
Sout 1415 - Ella Y Rossa - NR
Here are today's (20 Dec
Muss 1320 - Barrons Pike
Muss 1420 - Rightful Ruler
Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the
3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9.
Points since we started + 12.28
Yesterday: EP taken at 7.50
Ayr, Rogues Gallery, EP 5.1 (2 Places) 3rd
14.25 Ayr, Junkanoo, EP 3.65 (3
15.00 Ayr, Flaming Heck, EP 2.3 (3 Places) 2nd
nice wins yesterday.
Today's: Sorry no selections today.
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
14:35, Lingfield, Vacation
Today: 14.00 Lingfield, All Of Me
You can purchase this
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
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Horse Racing Tipster Service.
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6. "Best Lay of the
Day" - Lay
Betting System Bet
15:30 AYR, Jballingall 3rd
Today: 15:20 MUSSELBURGH, Bafana Boy
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system formula:
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1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later
in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can
talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
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9) Now includes Lay Place System.
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11) Now includes the Investment System
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7. Today's sponsor tip
Authors comments for today:
George beat the selection last time out and I reckon he can do the same
Selection 1: Ayr, 13:25, DOUBLE DEFAULT
use 1% of our bank.
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System
After playing around with selections I have
decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I
have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect
there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that
will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to
record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are
from the original and tighter system.
You can see all the results since the
14th (when I introduced the latest selection method)
here. I am now using what I call the "rule of 3", this means
we go for 3 wins and use a 3 race scratch back to get back any
Nottingham BAGS, 11.03, Salacres Rambler, Trap 1
1st 3/1 - LOST
Oxford BAGS, 11.11, Scatty Girl,
Trap 5(*) 4th 4/1
Nottingham BAGS, 11.48, Charlottespaving, Trap 3 1st 4/1
Nottingham BAGS, 12.18, Shes Slim, Trap 2
Nottingham BAGS, 12.47, Pacey Fella, Trap 1 3rd 7/2
BAGS, 12.58, College Mate, Trap 4 6th 5/1
Nottingham BAGS, 13.04,
Gotchagood, Trap 1 1st 3/1 - LOST
13.19, Derryhogan Tia, Trap 4 2nd 3/1
Oxford BAGS, 13.27, Oaks Angel, Trap
4 5th 6/1
Oxford BAGS, 13.44, Emporio Diamond, Trap 3 2nd 6/1
Sunderland BAGS, 14.37, Distant Sunrise, Trap 3 1st 8/1 - LOST
Crayford BAGS, 14.47, Graces Girl, Trap 5 5th
Sunderland BAGS, 14.57, Grapsys Lila, Trap 2 4th 9/4
15.07, Burneys Aggassi, Trap 2(*) 6th 7/2
Sunderland BAGS, 15.38, Angel
Return, Trap 2 1st 6/1 - LOST
15.58, Capri Elderberry, Trap 1 5th 5/1
Sunderland BAGS, 16.57, Catunda
Jessy, Trap 1 3rd 6/1
Crayford BAGS, 17.27, Sheepwalk On, Trap 2 5th
Sunderland BAGS, 17.48, Tornaroy Trusty, Trap 1 6th 8/1
BAGS, 18.04, Ballymacdoe Lass, Trap 1 3rd 5/1
Crayford BAGS, 18.11, Seefin
Dot, Trap 2 4th 2/1
21 Selections today 5 losers (Screen Shot)
Here are today's.
Hall Green BAGS,
11.19, Knockunder Hill, Trap 4
Brough Park BAGS, 11.57, Chevington Bell,
Hall Green BAGS, 12.18, Watch My Mentor, Trap 2
BAGS, 12.58, Louie Scorcha, Trap 3
Brough Park BAGS, 13.12, Gravel Lee,
Brough Park BAGS, 13.27, Mulcair, Trap 2
Hall Green BAGS, 13.51,
Watch Artemis, Trap 1
Brough Park BAGS, 14.03, Solway Admiral, Trap 2
Hove BAGS, 15.07, Blakes Monarch, Trap 6
Hove BAGS, 16.08, Turlocks
Trolley, Trap 4
Hove BAGS, 17.27, Oilean Rebel, Trap 4
17.58, Cushie Shauna, Trap 6
12 Selections today, there are no (*)
I set the
Horse bot price range from 1 -7.
9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections
This is a win system (test) that me and a friend
have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every
morning so although we created the system together he is the one really
Click Here to see the results so far.
12.20 Ayr: Gunadoir 2nd 5/2 /Tell Henry 1st
Today. 13.30 Lingfield, Basaata/Nicomedia
Use 50/50 if
you can make profit whatever the outcome. I am using 1pt on each selection.
10. New - Win Selections started
This is a new win system that John from
Luv2Lose has asked me to
show you. He expects the price to drop all the way to the off with these and
the idea is to get the best price above odds-on as you can. The verdict is
still out on whether to take selections that are below evens.
Yesterday: Sorry no selctions today.
Today: EP at
Kempton Park 17.20 HURRICANE SPIRIT EP 1.31
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Have a good days racing.
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