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16th September 2006

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I think I am going to work all weekend, I have a lot of things on the go so I may just shut myself away and get on with it.

Yet another winner for "Millionaires's Row" yesterday. Admittedly the prices were not as good as the last couple of day's but still around 2 points profit.

There are 4 meetings today 3 Jumps from Ascot, Exeter, Kelso and 1 AW from Wolverhampton.

The last couple of weeks we have been trying to find value in betting on the exchange place market. If you want to pick up this thread and read what we have discussed so far, then please go to the email archives here, and start at the 30/10/2006.

13.50 Hereford, 7/4 Brave Villa EP 1.4 (2 places) 1st 8/11
14.00 Wincanton, Kawagino EP 1.33 (2 places) 2nd 10/11
14.30 Wincanton, Almost Broke EP 1.34 (3 places) 2nd 5/2
17.20 Wolvehampton, Mantle EP 1.06 (3 places) 5th 1/4

All winners until the last so we going into today being owed 1pt loss from yesterday.

12.35 Exeter, Minella Tipperary EP 1.4 (2 places)
12.50 Kelso, Three Mirrors EP 1.4 (2 places)
14.00 Kelso, Monsieur EP 1.4 (2 places)
16.20 Wolverhampton, Fabine EP 1.4 (2 places)
17.20 Wolverhampton, Eccollo EP 1.4 (2 places)

This will be the last day of this test on Monday we will look at something new. What?
I don't don't know yet but I have a book of ideas so I am sure I can come up with something.

Yesterday I wrote this.

" Take the "Racing Post - win selections" we have been trying for the last couple of months. I thought with close to a 50% (sometimes anyway) strike rate it seemed to be doing ok but yesterday I put together all the selections which you can see here.

I haven't added up the points yet but judging by the prices, I bet you had a better chance at making money at level stakes if you lay, instead of backing and with the low prices a lay staking system wouldn't be that dangerous."

I had an email from a reader who did some work on the results:

By backing and laying the racing post selections on the results you posted (I assumed the lay odds to be 5% higher that than the back odds).

If you use a staking plan of doubling your previous stake after a loss you'd be 15 points up. I would never use such a plan in practice as a 50% strike rate can easily result in runs of 6 or more wins or losses in a row. If you double 3 times before going back to your original stake then you'd be 7.5 points up. (Someone may say you cant possibly win by backing and laying the same horse, but of course you are using different stakes each time) "

His idea is similar to the Balay system but this is with much shorter odds which is why as Howard say's you could end up with long losing streaks weather you back or lay.

An interesting idea and thanks Howard for sharing it with us.

2. Racing Post -win selections
(racing post - racing- tipsters-naps- Today's best Bet's)

The suggestion is that if the horse is trading under evens (2.0) then no bet.

Yesterday: 13.50 Hereford, Brave Villa 1st 8/11

Results: (22 winners 26 loser so far)

Today's: 12.35 Exeter, Minella Tipperary
This is the last day of this selection.

3. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair

Thursday's (16 Nov 2006)
Here 1520 - Major Blue - 7th - SP 10/1 - Betfair 14.0 - no bet
Mark 1540 - Tetragon - 2nd - SP 8/1 - Betfair 9.6 - no bet
Wolv 1620 - Foreign Edition - 7th - SP 9/2 - Betfair 6.2 - won
Wolv 1650 - Mandriano - 7th - SP 7/1 - Betfair 8.8 - won
Wolv 1750 - Street Warrior - 9th - SP 14/1 - Betfair 23.0 - no bet
Wolv 1820 - Jeu D'Esprit - 10th - SP 20/1 - Betfair 50.0 - no bet

Here are today's (17 Nov 2006)
Asco 1445 - King Coal
Wolv 1550 - Bold Indian
Wolv 1750 - Catspraddle

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Yesteday: 13.50 Hereford, Brave Villa 1st 8/11

Today: 17.20 Wolverhampton, Eccollo

You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
"Last Winter, This London Man Caned The Bookies For £14,011 Profit, At Just £20 Stakes!" And this year he's already making it hurt even more!!

Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
Yesterday: 15:20 HEREFORD Anflora 9th 6/1

Today: 15:10 KELSO Prince Adjal

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
The Almost Certain Lay Tips

Selection 1: 12.50 Kelso, Hello Baby
Selection 2: 2.00 Kelso, Nerone
Selection 3: 4.20 Wolv, Carrie Mccurry
Selection 4: 5.20 Wolv, Aastral Magic

Set a maximum amount as your liability, then divide that figure by the available odds.
EG. £100 / (8.8 - 1) = 12.82 so your stake is £12.82.

The Almost Certain Lay Tips

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are from the original and tighter system.

Sunderland BAGS, 11.34, Leaha Selina, Trap 1 3rd 8/1
Sheffield BAGS, 11.57, Tismessylike, Trap 6 4th 7/1
Sunderland BAGS, 12.18, Morarless, Trap 3 4th 8/1
Sheffield BAGS, 12.27, Laddie Mactaz, Trap 4 * 1st 3/1
Sunderland BAGS, 12.32, Tobar Leigh Spot, Trap 2 3rd 8/1
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Lunar Prince, Trap 5 3rd 7/2
Sunderland BAGS, 13.19, Anactor, Trap 5 4th 5/1
Sheffield BAGS, 14.03, Everilgate Pete, Trap 3 3rd 5/1
Romford BAGS, 14.08, Clounamon Cheeko, Trap 3 1st 5/2
Romford BAGS, 14.47, Maries Bert, Trap 2 * 1st 4/1
Romford BAGS, 15.07, Donnas Playgirl, Trap 3 6th 5/1
Crayford BAGS, 15.17, Pishiobury Pinto, Trap 5 4th 7/2
Romford BAGS, 15.28, Grenrose Lilly, Trap 4 * 5th 13/8
Crayford BAGS, 16.37, Darcol Danger, Trap 3 4th 3/1
Romford BAGS, 16.48, Springwood Peg, Trap 5 3rd 4/1
Romford BAGS, 17.07, Clap The Throw, Trap 5 3rd 5/2
Crayford BAGS, 17.17, Black Dicaprio, Trap 2 * 6th 4/1
Romford BAGS, 17.44, Jeddies Banker, Trap 2 6th 5/1
Crayford BAGS, 17.48, Coronea Spiral, Trap 6 6th 7/2
Crayford BAGS, 18.04, Fawkham Rose, Trap 4 6th 6th 3/1
I will admit I bottled out a little yesterday and changed the odds to 2.00 to 6.00. The intension was to run the staking plan on the bot, but we had some trouble with this so I just ended up with level stakes and as you can see from this screenshot, I missed a few selections (bar one where I did catch a 7.00 while testing a manual setup). I am also considering not laying the older selections (*) because these seem to be the ones we are having the most trouble with.

Here are today's

Walthamstow BAGS, 11.11, Harcourt, Trap 6 *
Hall Green BAGS, 11.19, Castle Kayleigh, Trap 3 *
Walthamstow BAGS, 11.42, Bellchips Nicole, Trap 6
Hall Green BAGS, 12.47, Grange Start, Trap 3
Hall Green BAGS, 13.04, Killeacle Emer, Trap 2
Walthamstow BAGS, 13.12, Layhams Lad, Trap 2
Walthamstow BAGS, 13.44, Calzaghe Shearer, Trap 5
Hall Green BAGS, 13.51, Supreme Athena, Trap 3 *
Swindon BAGS, 14.08, Dropkick Murphy, Trap 6 *
Swindon BAGS, 14.27, Vigilant Skye, Trap 5
Monmore BAGS, 14.57, Slim Girl, Trap 2 *
Monmore BAGS, 15.38, Cushie Come On, Trap 3
Swindon BAGS, 16.48, Emmas Fun, Trap 1
Swindon BAGS, 17.27, Torpeys Classic, Trap 6

So lets watch the (*) selections as I think they are the ones to give us the most trouble. I am going to be testing the staking plan on the bot today so I am going to set it from 2 - 6. This is where I can lose a lot of money during testing, but it means you don't have to if you ever come to use the bot!

I am using my latest bot under test called greyhound2

8. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it.

Points + 12.08

3.10 M.R. Master Papa 1st 10/3 / Supreme Tadgh 2nd 10/3

Today's: 2.10 Ascot: Hawridge Star/Prime Number

Use 50/50 if you can make profit whatever the outcome. I am using 1pt on each selection.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing and a great weekend.


P.S. How about something different...

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