16th September 2006
I think I am going to work all weekend, I
have a lot of things on the go so I may just shut myself away and get on with
Yet another winner for "Millionaires's Row" yesterday.
Admittedly the prices were not as good as the last couple of day's but still
around 2 points profit.
There are 4 meetings today 3 Jumps from
Kelso and 1 AW from
The last couple of weeks we have been trying to find
value in betting on the exchange place market. If you want to pick up this
thread and read what we have discussed so far, then please go to the email
here, and start at the
13.50 Hereford, 7/4 Brave
Villa EP 1.4 (2 places) 1st 8/11
14.00 Wincanton, Kawagino EP 1.33 (2
places) 2nd 10/11
14.30 Wincanton, Almost Broke EP 1.34 (3 places) 2nd
17.20 Wolvehampton, Mantle EP 1.06 (3 places) 5th 1/4
until the last so we going into today being owed 1pt loss from
12.35 Exeter, Minella Tipperary EP 1.4 (2 places)
Kelso, Three Mirrors EP 1.4 (2 places)
14.00 Kelso, Monsieur EP 1.4 (2
16.20 Wolverhampton, Fabine EP 1.4 (2 places)
Wolverhampton, Eccollo EP 1.4 (2 places)
This will be the last day of
this test on Monday we will look at something new. What?
I don't don't know
yet but I have a book of ideas so I am sure I can come up with
Yesterday I wrote this.
the "Racing Post - win selections" we have been trying for the last
couple of months. I thought with close to a 50% (sometimes anyway) strike rate
it seemed to be doing ok but yesterday I put together all the selections which
you can see
I haven't added up the points yet but judging by the prices, I bet you
had a better chance at making money at level stakes if you lay, instead of
backing and with the low prices a
lay staking system
wouldn't be that dangerous."
I had an email from a reader who did some
work on the results:
By backing and laying the racing post
selections on the results you posted (I assumed the lay odds to be 5% higher
that than the back odds).
If you use a staking plan of doubling your
previous stake after a loss you'd be 15 points up. I would never use such a
plan in practice as a 50% strike rate can easily result in runs of 6 or more
wins or losses in a row. If you double 3 times before going back to your
original stake then you'd be 7.5 points up. (Someone may say you cant possibly
win by backing and laying the same horse, but of course you are using different
stakes each time) "
His idea is similar to the
but this is with much shorter odds which is why as Howard say's you could end
up with long losing streaks weather you back or lay.
An interesting idea
and thanks Howard for sharing it with us.
2. Racing Post -win
(racing post - racing- tipsters-naps- Today's best
The suggestion is that if the horse is trading under evens (2.0)
then no bet.
Yesterday: 13.50 Hereford, Brave Villa 1st
Results: (22 winners 26 loser so far)
Exeter, Minella Tipperary
This is the last day of this selection.
3. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test
selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair
Thursday's (16 Nov 2006)
Here 1520 - Major Blue - 7th - SP 10/1 - Betfair
14.0 - no bet
Mark 1540 - Tetragon - 2nd - SP 8/1 - Betfair 9.6 - no
Wolv 1620 - Foreign Edition - 7th - SP 9/2 - Betfair 6.2 - won
1650 - Mandriano - 7th - SP 7/1 - Betfair 8.8 - won
Wolv 1750 - Street
Warrior - 9th - SP 14/1 - Betfair 23.0 - no bet
Wolv 1820 - Jeu D'Esprit -
10th - SP 20/1 - Betfair 50.0 - no bet
Here are today's (17 Nov
Asco 1445 - King Coal
Wolv 1550 - Bold Indian
Wolv 1750 -
Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the
4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Yesteday: 13.50 Hereford, Brave Villa 1st
Today: 17.20 Wolverhampton, Eccollo
You can purchase this
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
"Last Winter, This London Man Caned The
Bookies For £14,011 Profit, At Just £20 Stakes!" And this year he's
already making it hurt even more!!
Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the
Day" - Lay
Betting System Bet
Yesterday: 15:20 HEREFORD Anflora 9th
Today: 15:10 KELSO Prince Adjal
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system formula:
Advantages of owning the
1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later
in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can
talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own
your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting
You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
The Almost Certain
Selection 1: 12.50 Kelso, Hello Baby
2.00 Kelso, Nerone
Selection 3: 4.20 Wolv, Carrie Mccurry
5.20 Wolv, Aastral Magic
Set a maximum amount as your
liability, then divide that figure by the available odds.
EG. £100 /
(8.8 - 1) = 12.82 so your stake is £12.82.
Certain Lay Tips
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System
After playing around with selections I have
decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I
have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect
there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that
will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to
record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are
from the original and tighter system.
11.34, Leaha Selina, Trap 1 3rd 8/1
Sheffield BAGS, 11.57, Tismessylike,
Trap 6 4th 7/1
Sunderland BAGS, 12.18, Morarless, Trap 3 4th 8/1
Sheffield BAGS, 12.27, Laddie Mactaz, Trap 4 * 1st 3/1
12.32, Tobar Leigh Spot, Trap 2 3rd 8/1
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Lunar
Prince, Trap 5 3rd 7/2
Sunderland BAGS, 13.19, Anactor, Trap 5 4th 5/1
Sheffield BAGS, 14.03, Everilgate Pete, Trap 3 3rd 5/1
Romford BAGS, 14.08,
Clounamon Cheeko, Trap 3 1st 5/2
Romford BAGS, 14.47, Maries Bert, Trap 2 *
Romford BAGS, 15.07, Donnas Playgirl, Trap 3 6th 5/1
BAGS, 15.17, Pishiobury Pinto, Trap 5 4th 7/2
Romford BAGS, 15.28, Grenrose
Lilly, Trap 4 * 5th 13/8
Crayford BAGS, 16.37, Darcol Danger, Trap 3 4th
Romford BAGS, 16.48, Springwood Peg, Trap 5 3rd 4/1
17.07, Clap The Throw, Trap 5 3rd 5/2
Crayford BAGS, 17.17, Black Dicaprio,
Trap 2 * 6th 4/1
Romford BAGS, 17.44, Jeddies Banker, Trap 2 6th 5/1
Crayford BAGS, 17.48, Coronea Spiral, Trap 6 6th 7/2
Crayford BAGS, 18.04,
Fawkham Rose, Trap 4 6th 6th 3/1
I will admit I bottled out a little
yesterday and changed the odds to 2.00 to 6.00. The intension was to run the
staking plan on the bot, but we had some trouble with this so I just ended up
with level stakes and as you can see from this
screenshot, I missed a few selections (bar one where I did
catch a 7.00 while testing a manual setup). I am also considering not laying
the older selections (*) because these seem to be the ones we are having the
most trouble with.
Here are today's
Walthamstow BAGS, 11.11,
Harcourt, Trap 6 *
Hall Green BAGS, 11.19, Castle Kayleigh, Trap 3 *
Walthamstow BAGS, 11.42, Bellchips Nicole, Trap 6
Hall Green BAGS, 12.47,
Grange Start, Trap 3
Hall Green BAGS, 13.04, Killeacle Emer, Trap 2
Walthamstow BAGS, 13.12, Layhams Lad, Trap 2
Walthamstow BAGS, 13.44,
Calzaghe Shearer, Trap 5
Hall Green BAGS, 13.51, Supreme Athena, Trap 3
Swindon BAGS, 14.08, Dropkick Murphy, Trap 6 *
Swindon BAGS, 14.27,
Vigilant Skye, Trap 5
Monmore BAGS, 14.57, Slim Girl, Trap 2 *
BAGS, 15.38, Cushie Come On, Trap 3
Swindon BAGS, 16.48, Emmas Fun, Trap
Swindon BAGS, 17.27, Torpeys Classic, Trap 6
So lets watch the (*)
selections as I think they are the ones to give us the most trouble. I am going
to be testing the staking plan on the bot today so I am going to set it from 2
- 6. This is where I can lose a lot of money during testing, but it means you
don't have to if you ever come to use the bot!
I am using my latest
bot under test called greyhound2
8. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections
This is a win system (test) that me and a friend
have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every
morning so although we created the system together he is the one really
Points + 12.08
3.10 M.R. Master Papa
1st 10/3 / Supreme Tadgh 2nd 10/3
Today's: 2.10 Ascot: Hawridge
Use 50/50 if you can make profit whatever the
outcome. I am using 1pt on each selection.
Please tell your friends about this
daily tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days racing and a great
P.S. How about something different...
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