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16th September 2006

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Another nice winner for "Millionaires's Row" yesterday. On betfair Mr Excel was around 11.00 in the morning but you could have easily got 8.00 during the day a little more than the 5/1 at the bookies.

On the other hand we are still on a roller coaster ride with the "Best Lay of the Day" with another loser yesterday. I can feel this being hard work this month but I want to turn it around.

There are 4 meetings today 3 Jumps from Hereford, Market Rasen and Wincanton and 1 AW from Wolverhampton.

The last couple of weeks we have been trying to find value in betting on the exchange place market. If you want to pick up this thread and read what we have discussed so far, then please go to the email archives here, and start at the 30/10/2006.

12.50 Hexham, Young Albert EP 1.09 (3 places) 2nd
13.30 Southwell, Flint River EP 1.48 (3 places) 4th
14.40 Wawick, Scarlet Mix EP 1.31 (3 places) 1st
15.45 Kempton, Eccollo EP 1.2 (3 places) 1st
16.50 Kempton, Salsa Steps EP 1.3 (3 places) NR

We had one loser and one NR to spoil the show yesterday. Using the staking plan would have put us back in profit on the 14.40 though.

Here are today's
13.50 Hereford, 7/4 Brave Villa EP 1.4 (2 places)
14.00 Wincanton, Kawagino EP 1.33 (2 places)
14.30 Wincanton, Almost Broke EP 1.34 (3 places)
17.20 Wolvehampton, Mantle EP 1.06 (3 places)

Isn't it strange how you can sometimes think something is doing well and then when you go to check the back on the results it shows a different story.

Take the "Racing Post - win selections" we have been trying for the last couple of months. I thought with close to a 50% (sometimes anyway) strike rate it seemed to be doing ok but yesterday I put together all the selections which you can see here.

I haven't added up the points yet but judging by the prices, I bet you had a better chance at making money at level stakes if you lay, instead of backing and with the low prices a lay staking system wouldn't be that dangerous.

What really stood out for me is that you seem to get a couple of winners then a couple of losers. The longest winning run was 2 where as the longest losing run was 4, although I did have a holiday in between those selections so really our longest consistent losing run is 3 which we are on at the moment.

I am still adding the "Racing Post - win selections" to the miracle system for information but I am a little disappointed with the results considering the short prices. I think I will be laying these in future!

2. Racing Post -win selections
(racing post - racing- tipsters-naps- Today's best Bet's)

The suggestion is that if the horse is trading under evens (2.0) then no bet.

Yesterday: 12.50 Hexham, Young Albert 2nd 2/7

Results: (21 winners 26 loser so far)

Today's: 13.50 Hereford, Brave Villa

3. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair

Wednesday's (15 Nov 2006)
Warw 1310 - Just Superb - 9th (fell) - SP 11/1 - Betfair 14.5 - no bet
Warw 1510 - Zimbabwe - 7th - SP 9/1 - Betfair 11.5 - no bet
Kemp 1620 - Quality Street - 9th - SP 16/1 - Betfair 26.0 - no bet

Here are today's (16 ov 2006)
Here 1520 - Major Blue
Mark 1540 - Tetragon
Wolv 1620 - Foreign Edition
Wolv 1650 - Mandriano
Wolv 1750 - Street Warrior
Wolv 1820 - Jeu D'Esprit

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Yesteday: 15.45 Kempton, Eccollo 1st 1/2

Today: 13.50 Hereford, Brave Villa

You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Sitting on my computer on Betfair, I earned more in an hour than I used to make in my boring office job in a week! You may do even better!

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6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
Yesterday: 15:30 SOUTHWELL Jordan´s Light 1st 7/4

Today: 15:20 HEREFORD Anflora

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
The Bismarx (BVR)

As at 8 o'clock this morning the following horses were identified as within Bismarx range.
Watch for market changes before the race.
Exercise caution at odds over 2.8 or where non-runner's have left less than 5 runner's in a race.
Generally do not lay when wide odds disparity (3.0+) has emerged between the Favourite and the other runner's.
Quit when your profit target has been reached.
Prepare for liability in advance - always plan your next move first.

13.10 MR PRO DANCER @2.7
13.25 Clon LE TOSCAN @1.7
15.00 Winc BOLD FIRE @2.2
15.40 MR TASHKANDI @2.7

The Bismarx (BVR)
Now you can run the bismarx automated with the Bismarx Bot

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are from the original and tighter system.

Hall Green BAGS, 11.03, Perpetual Bliss, Trap 2 5th 7/2 (5.50)
Brough Park BAGS, 11.42, Coolemount Mandy, Trap 1 1st 5/1 (7.0)
Brough Park BAGS, 12.42, Soft Goal, Trap 5 * 4th 3/1 (4.50)
Hall Green BAGS, 12.47, Duncarbit Tex, Trap 6 * 5th 3/1 (7.0 )
Hall Green BAGS, 13.19, Dundee Dave, Trap 3 * 1st 7/2 ( 4.5)
Brough Park BAGS, 13.27, Tupacs Ho, Trap 3 * 2nd 7/2 (6.0 )
Hove BAGS, 14.47, Clairekeith Boy, Trap 6 5th 5/4 (2.5 )
Hove BAGS, 16.27, Vanity Fair, Trap 5 1st 5/2 (3.5 )
Hove BAGS, 17.58, Easter Present, Trap 4 2nd 7/2 (4.5 )
Perry Barr BAGS, 18.04, Frozen Ice, Trap 6 * 1st 2/1 (3.5 )
Hove BAGS, 18.11, Downland Pizzaro, Trap 2 4th 6/4 (2.5 )

After a full winning day on Tuesday it was a bit of a mixed day yesterday and I was certainly down at level stakes. I am wondering if I should bring the top end down to 6.00. I would have missed two bets yesterday but one of those was a loser. It is good to see that most of the selections are 6.00 or under though.

Sunderland BAGS, 11.34, Leaha Selina, Trap 1
Sheffield BAGS, 11.57, Tismessylike, Trap 6
Sunderland BAGS, 12.18, Morarless, Trap 3
Sheffield BAGS, 12.27, Laddie Mactaz, Trap 4 *
Sunderland BAGS, 12.32, Tobar Leigh Spot, Trap 2
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Lunar Prince, Trap 5
Sunderland BAGS, 13.19, Anactor, Trap 5
Sheffield BAGS, 14.03, Everilgate Pete, Trap 3
Romford BAGS, 14.08, Clounamon Cheeko, Trap 3
Romford BAGS, 14.47, Maries Bert, Trap 2 *
Romford BAGS, 15.07, Donnas Playgirl, Trap 3
Crayford BAGS, 15.17, Pishiobury Pinto, Trap 5
Romford BAGS, 15.28, Grenrose Lilly, Trap 4 *
Crayford BAGS, 16.37, Darcol Danger, Trap 3
Romford BAGS, 16.48, Springwood Peg, Trap 5
Romford BAGS, 17.07, Clap The Throw, Trap 5
Crayford BAGS, 17.17, Black Dicaprio, Trap 2 *
Romford BAGS, 17.44, Jeddies Banker, Trap 2
Crayford BAGS, 17.48, Coronea Spiral, Trap 6
Crayford BAGS, 18.04, Fawkham Rose, Trap 4

There are plenty today.

I am using my latest bot under test called greyhound2 and setting a price of between 2.00 and 7.00,

8. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it.

Points + 8.75

14.00 Southwell, Spunger 6th 3/1 /Mr Excel 1st 5/1

3.10 M.R. Master Papa/Supreme Tadgh

Use 50/50 if you can make profit whatever the outcome. I am using 1pt on each selection.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing and a great weekend.


P.S. How about something different...

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