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15th December 2006

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

Bright and early this morning.

Well I managed to get away with xmas shopping up to now, but I don't think I have much of a chance of carrying on with that winning run over this weekend.

Carrying on from yesterday

Yesterday our first 3 wins came in early so today we have a chance to increase our staking again. Yesterday's stake was 2.06 so today is.

2.06 x 3% = 2.12

Stop Loss is 2.12 x 30 = 63.60
Stop Profit 2.12 x 3 = 6.36

Slowly but surely.

This is actually how a staking plan should work because it does 2 things, it first covers your risk, secondly it increases your stake and thirdly it put's some of your winnings away.

We increased our stake by 3% yesterday and we won 6.18. Today we have increase our stake by another 18p, increased our risk by another 1.80 which allows us to put 4.20 back into our main bank from yesterdays winnings.

Here is how my Grey Horse options will look today

These calculation could be adjusted in lots of different ways but as I have said all along we are just testing and I hope you realise that.

By increasing our stakes everyday it is going to take us longer to build up another cushion as we did with the first 10 days because we are using more of our daily profit against our next days stakes and stop loss, which is why many people just make one change in their stake monthly. Because we are increasing our stake daily it could take 15 to 20 days to catch up.

But doing it this way, if we have a losing day then we should at least still have added to our base bank. Our worst nightmare is to have more than 1 losing day, within the time it takes to build up another stop loss amount.

Hopefully though it's not just about statistics it's the system as well. This will give us the edge and allow us to continue to grow our bank.

When you see results like we are seeing with the Greyhound System (8) you really do need to use will power, to stop yourself from just continuing to run the staking plan across all selections.

Doing this will really put your odds of catching 3 or even 4 losers up a great deal, but it does hurt when you see all that potential profit going by everyday. This is called "Greed" and is covered in the  "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" so it is not advised, but for testing purposes I could be tempted!

If we go 30 days with out a losing day and the results show that this could be possible to do, then I may do it purely as a test, even if it just shows how dangerous this can be.

In Howard's original email to me he mentioned.

"I tried also using "double after a loss up to doubling twice". This scheme wins you much less than the 3 race scratch back (only half as much or even less) as long as you are winning. However, although it can dive quite badly in a losing streak, it does NOT break the bank in the way the scratch back does."

On Monday we will discuss this staking option and see how it could be used with the selections.

Anyway we are off to the Doctors again this morning so I better get on.

I hope you have a great weekend.

2. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair

Thursday's (14 Dec 2006)
Exet 1240 - Silverio - 3rd - SP 17/2 - Betfair 12.0 - no bet
Sout 1330 - Brean Dot Com - 5th - SP 7/2 - Betfair 4.7 - won
Catt 1350 - Easby Mandarin - UR - SP 7/1 - Betfair 9.0 - won
Exet 1510 - Countess Point - 4th - SP 14/1 - Betfair 21.0 - no bet
Wolv 1550 - Snow Bunting - 2nd - SP 14/1 - Betfair 18.5 - no bet
Wolv 1720 - Sparkwell - 1st - SP 4/1 - Betfair 5.6 - lost

Here are today's (15 Dec 2006)
Utto 1245 - Where's Trigger
Asco 1310 - Pass Me A Dime
Wolv 1520 - Weightless
Wolv 1555 - Right Ted
Kemp 1750 - Paraguay

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

3. Place System (win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a Betting Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9.
Points since we started + 6.23

12.30 Southwell, Suntan Lady EP 2.44 (2 Places) 4th
13.10 Exeter, Out The Black EP 2.52 (3 Places) 4th
13.50 Catterick, Trafalgar Man, EP 2.52 (3 Places) 6th
14.00 Southwell, Hilltop Destiny EP 2.4 (2 Places) 1st
14.30 Southwell, Captain Oats 2.48 (2 Places) 6th
17.50 Wolverhampton, New Beginning, 2.82 (3 Places) 8th
Not a great day yesterday.

Today's EP taken at 7.27
14.15 Wolverhampton, Dress To Impress, EP 3.4 (2 Places)
14.35 Ascot, Harmony Brig, EP 3.3 (2 Places)
14.50 Wolverhampton, Marko Jadeo, EP 2.98 (2 Places)
15.20 Wolverhampton, Bahar Shumaal, EP 2.04 (3Places)
16.50 Kempton, Alexian EP 2.6 (3Places)

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
15.10 Exeter, Chamoss Royale 1st 4/6

15:10, Ascot, Mambo Des Mottes

You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
How a small investment of just 50p a day can make you £10, £20 or £50 or more per day in profit!

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6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
12:50 Catterick Silver Seeker 6th 9/2

Today: 12:15 Uttoxeter, Never So Blue

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
The Almost Certain Lay Tips

1.50 Uttox, Sunley Shines

Set a maximum amount as your liability, then divide that figure by the available odds.

EG. £100 / (8.8 - 1) = 12.82 so your stake is £12.82.

The Almost Certain Lay Tips

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are from the original and tighter system.
You can see all the results since the 14th (when I introduced the latest selection method) here. I am now using what I call the "rule of 3", this means we go for 3 wins and use a 3 race scratch back to get back any losses.

Sheffield BAGS, 11.28, Up And Down, 2 4th 3/1
Sunderland BAGS, 11.34, Tequila Sunshine, Trap 2 5th 8/1
Sunderland BAGS, 12.04, Coolbane Duke, Trap 2 5th 3/1
Sheffield BAGS, 12.12, Kirstys Pie, Trap 3 3rd 4/1
Sunderland BAGS, 12.18, Pond Negresco, Trap 6 1st 3/1
Sheffield BAGS, 12.42, Easierdebtdotcom, Trap 1(*) 6th 4/1 - LOST
Sunderland BAGS, 12.47, Beckfield Rocky, Trap 5 1st 7/2 - LOST
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Droopys Halina, Trap 6 6th 8/1
Sheffield BAGS, 13.44, Chance Chat, Trap 6 1st 9/4 - LOST
Sunderland BAGS, 13.51, Delwood Leanne, Trap 3 6th 5/2
Romford BAGS, 14.08, Ivy Knows, Trap 4(*) 4th 3/1
Romford BAGS, 16.08, Michelob, Trap 3 2nd 9/4
Crayford BAGS, 16.57, Savana Delta, Trap 3 6th 3/1
Romford BAGS, 17.07, Borna Toot, Trap 2 1st 4/1 - LOST
Romford BAGS, 17.44, Raging Road, Trap 4 5th 7/1
15 today 4 Loser (Screen Shot)

Nice easy day yesterday.

Here are today's.
Walthamstow BAGS, 11.28, Nikray Gifted, Trap 4
Hall Green BAGS, 11.34, Bit View Class, Trap 4(*)
Hall Green BAGS, 12.04, Prometheus, Trap 2 (*)
Walthamstow BAGS, 12.12, Muck Spreader, Trap 1
Walthamstow BAGS, 13.12, Lycon Ned, Trap 1
Hall Green BAGS, 13.33, Wood Tru, Trap 4
Walthamstow BAGS, 13.44, Tea Biscuit, Trap 6
Walthamstow BAGS, 14.03, Hypatia Blue, Trap 1(*)
Monmore BAGS, 14.37, Hollybush Lass, Trap 6
Swindon BAGS, 14.47, Delius Moon, Trap 2
Swindon BAGS, 15.07, Premier Major, Trap 6(*)
Monmore BAGS, 15.17, Glenanore Lady, Trap 5
Swindon BAGS, 15.28, Ballymac Preview, Trap 1
Swindon BAGS, 15.48, Distant Dodger, Trap 3(*)
Monmore BAGS, 15.58, Lode Of Yank, Trap 2
Swindon BAGS, 16.27, Autumn Fire, Trap 6
Monmore BAGS, 16.37, Breeze Hill Juli, Trap 3
Swindon BAGS, 16.48, Get Over It, Trap 6
Monmore BAGS, 17.17, Ronnies Hare, Trap 4
Swindon BAGS, 17.27, Daytwo, Trap 2
Monmore BAGS, 17.33, Westmead Swift, Trap 3(*)
Swindon BAGS, 17.44, Torpeys Dream, Trap 3
Monmore BAGS, 18.04, Wendys Guest, Trap 1
Swindon BAGS, 18.11, Falkners Swift, Trap 5(*)
24 selections today, that's the most we have had in one day up to now.

I set the Grey Horse bot price range from 1 -7.

9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections started 13/11/2006

This is a win system (test) that me and a friend have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every morning so although we created the system together he is the one really refining it. Click Here to see the results so far.

Points + 6.06

13.40 Exeter, Bold Bishop 3rd 3/1 /Sporazene 1st 11/4

14.50 Wolverhampton, Quiet Times/Marko Jadeo

Use 50/50 if you can make profit whatever the outcome. I am using 1pt on each selection.

10. New - Win Selections started 07/11/2006

This is a new win system that John from Luv2Lose has asked me to show you. He expects the price to drop all the way to the off with these and the idea is to get the best price above odds-on as you can. The verdict is still out on whether to take selections that are below evens.
Points: +1.61

Yesterday: Exchange Prices taken at 8.35 am
Southwell 14.00 ZED CANDY EP 2.5 3rd 15/8

Today: Exchange Prices taken at 7.51 am
Uttoxeter 13.50 OPERA DE COEUR EP 1.73
Ascot 14.35 NATAL EP 1.82
Wolverhampton 14.50 QUIET TIMES EP 2.06

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing.


P.S. How about something different...

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