15th December 2006
Bright and early this morning.
managed to get away with xmas shopping up to now, but I don't think I have much
of a chance of carrying on with that winning run over this
Carrying on from
Yesterday our first 3 wins came in early so
today we have a chance to increase our staking again. Yesterday's stake was
2.06 so today is.
2.06 x 3% = 2.12
Stop Loss is 2.12 x 30 =
Stop Profit 2.12 x 3 = 6.36
Slowly but surely.
actually how a staking plan should work because it does 2 things, it first
covers your risk, secondly it increases your stake and thirdly it put's some of
your winnings away.
We increased our stake by 3% yesterday and we won
6.18. Today we have increase our stake by another 18p, increased our risk by
another 1.80 which allows us to put 4.20 back into our main bank from
Here is how my Grey Horse options will look
These calculation could be adjusted in lots of different ways but
as I have said all along we are just testing and I hope you realise
By increasing our stakes everyday it is going to take us longer to
build up another cushion as we did with the first 10 days because we are using
more of our daily profit against our next days stakes and stop loss, which is
why many people just make one change in their stake monthly. Because we are
increasing our stake daily it could take 15 to 20 days to catch up.
doing it this way, if we have a losing day then we should at least still have
added to our base bank. Our worst nightmare is to have more than 1 losing day,
within the time it takes to build up another stop loss amount.
though it's not just about statistics it's the system as well. This will give
us the edge and allow us to continue to grow our bank.
When you see
results like we are seeing with the Greyhound System (8) you really do need to
use will power, to stop yourself from just continuing to run the staking plan
across all selections.
Doing this will really put your odds of catching
3 or even 4 losers up a great deal, but it does hurt when you see all that
potential profit going by everyday. This is called "Greed" and is covered in
the "The Deadly Sins of Gambling" so it is not advised, but for
testing purposes I could be tempted!
If we go 30 days with out a losing
day and the results show that this could be possible to do, then I may do it
purely as a test, even if it just shows how dangerous this can be.
Howard's original email to me he mentioned.
"I tried also using "double
after a loss up to doubling twice". This scheme wins you much less than the 3
race scratch back (only half as much or even less) as long as you are winning.
However, although it can dive quite badly in a losing streak, it does NOT break
the bank in the way the scratch back does."
On Monday we will discuss
this staking option and see how it could be used with the
Anyway we are off to the Doctors again this morning so I
better get on.
I hope you have a great weekend.
Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair
Thursday's (14 Dec
Exet 1240 - Silverio - 3rd - SP 17/2 - Betfair 12.0 - no bet
Sout 1330 - Brean Dot Com - 5th - SP 7/2 - Betfair 4.7 - won
Catt 1350 -
Easby Mandarin - UR - SP 7/1 - Betfair 9.0 - won
Exet 1510 - Countess
Point - 4th - SP 14/1 - Betfair 21.0 - no bet
Wolv 1550 - Snow Bunting -
2nd - SP 14/1 - Betfair 18.5 - no bet
Wolv 1720 - Sparkwell - 1st - SP 4/1
- Betfair 5.6 - lost
Here are today's (15 Dec 2006)
Utto 1245 -
Asco 1310 - Pass Me A Dime
Wolv 1520 - Weightless
Wolv 1555 - Right Ted
Kemp 1750 - Paraguay
recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.
3. Place System
(win Bet) - Started 20-11-2006
This is a
Exchange only place system, you can see the results so far
here. Prices are a snapshot from the morning between 8 -9.
Points since we started + 6.23
12.30 Southwell, Suntan
Lady EP 2.44 (2 Places) 4th
13.10 Exeter, Out The Black EP 2.52 (3 Places)
13.50 Catterick, Trafalgar Man, EP 2.52 (3 Places) 6th
Southwell, Hilltop Destiny EP 2.4 (2 Places) 1st
14.30 Southwell, Captain
Oats 2.48 (2 Places) 6th
17.50 Wolverhampton, New Beginning, 2.82 (3
Not a great day yesterday.
Today's EP taken at
14.15 Wolverhampton, Dress To Impress, EP 3.4 (2 Places)
Ascot, Harmony Brig, EP 3.3 (2 Places)
14.50 Wolverhampton, Marko Jadeo, EP
2.98 (2 Places)
15.20 Wolverhampton, Bahar Shumaal, EP 2.04
16.50 Kempton, Alexian EP 2.6 (3Places)
System (win Bet)
15.10 Exeter, Chamoss Royale
15:10, Ascot, Mambo Des Mottes
purchase this system here:
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6. "Best Lay of the
Day" - Lay
Betting System Bet
12:50 Catterick Silver Seeker
Today: 12:15 Uttoxeter, Never So Blue
Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one
of the selections for this tip.
You can purchase the system formula:
Advantages of owning the
1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later
in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can
talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
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9) Now includes Lay Place System.
includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
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You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own
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7. Today's sponsor tip
The Almost Certain
1.50 Uttox, Sunley Shines
maximum amount as your liability, then divide that figure by the available
EG. £100 / (8.8 - 1) = 12.82 so your stake is £12.82.
Almost Certain Lay Tips
8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System
After playing around with selections I have
decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I
have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect
there will have to be a maximum lay price set. I am just not sure what that
will be but I am testing between 2.00 and 7.00. I will make every effort to
record betfair lay prices as well. The ones marked with an asterisks (*) are
from the original and tighter system.
You can see all the results since the
14th (when I introduced the latest selection method)
here. I am now using what I call the "rule of 3", this means
we go for 3 wins and use a 3 race scratch back to get back any
Sheffield BAGS, 11.28, Up And Down, 2 4th 3/1
Sunderland BAGS, 11.34, Tequila Sunshine, Trap 2 5th 8/1
12.04, Coolbane Duke, Trap 2 5th 3/1
Sheffield BAGS, 12.12, Kirstys Pie,
Trap 3 3rd 4/1
Sunderland BAGS, 12.18, Pond Negresco, Trap 6 1st 3/1
Sheffield BAGS, 12.42, Easierdebtdotcom, Trap 1(*) 6th 4/1 - LOST
Sunderland BAGS, 12.47, Beckfield Rocky, Trap 5 1st
7/2 - LOST
Sheffield BAGS, 12.58, Droopys Halina,
Trap 6 6th 8/1
Sheffield BAGS, 13.44, Chance Chat, Trap 6 1st 9/4 -
Sunderland BAGS, 13.51, Delwood Leanne, Trap
3 6th 5/2
Romford BAGS, 14.08, Ivy Knows, Trap 4(*) 4th 3/1
16.08, Michelob, Trap 3 2nd 9/4
Crayford BAGS, 16.57, Savana Delta, Trap 3
Romford BAGS, 17.07, Borna Toot, Trap 2 1st 4/1 - LOST
Romford BAGS, 17.44, Raging Road, Trap 4 5th
15 today 4 Loser (Screen Shot)
Nice easy day yesterday.
Walthamstow BAGS, 11.28, Nikray Gifted, Trap 4
BAGS, 11.34, Bit View Class, Trap 4(*)
Hall Green BAGS, 12.04, Prometheus,
Trap 2 (*)
Walthamstow BAGS, 12.12, Muck Spreader, Trap 1
BAGS, 13.12, Lycon Ned, Trap 1
Hall Green BAGS, 13.33, Wood Tru, Trap 4
Walthamstow BAGS, 13.44, Tea Biscuit, Trap 6
Walthamstow BAGS, 14.03,
Hypatia Blue, Trap 1(*)
Monmore BAGS, 14.37, Hollybush Lass, Trap 6
Swindon BAGS, 14.47, Delius Moon, Trap 2
Swindon BAGS, 15.07, Premier
Major, Trap 6(*)
Monmore BAGS, 15.17, Glenanore Lady, Trap 5
BAGS, 15.28, Ballymac Preview, Trap 1
Swindon BAGS, 15.48, Distant Dodger,
Monmore BAGS, 15.58, Lode Of Yank, Trap 2
16.27, Autumn Fire, Trap 6
Monmore BAGS, 16.37, Breeze Hill Juli, Trap
Swindon BAGS, 16.48, Get Over It, Trap 6
Monmore BAGS, 17.17, Ronnies
Hare, Trap 4
Swindon BAGS, 17.27, Daytwo, Trap 2
Monmore BAGS, 17.33,
Westmead Swift, Trap 3(*)
Swindon BAGS, 17.44, Torpeys Dream, Trap 3
Monmore BAGS, 18.04, Wendys Guest, Trap 1
Swindon BAGS, 18.11, Falkners
Swift, Trap 5(*)
24 selections today, that's the most we have had in one
day up to now.
I set the
Horse bot price range from 1 -7.
9. Millionaire's Row - Win Selections
This is a win system (test) that me and a friend
have been working on for some time. Just so you know I let him select every
morning so although we created the system together he is the one really
Click Here to see the results so far.
13.40 Exeter, Bold Bishop 3rd 3/1 /Sporazene 1st
14.50 Wolverhampton, Quiet Times/Marko Jadeo
50/50 if you can make profit whatever the outcome. I am using 1pt on each
10. New - Win Selections started
This is a new win system that John from
Luv2Lose has asked me to
show you. He expects the price to drop all the way to the off with these and
the idea is to get the best price above odds-on as you can. The verdict is
still out on whether to take selections that are below evens.
Yesterday: Exchange Prices taken at 8.35 am
Southwell 14.00 ZED
CANDY EP 2.5 3rd 15/8
Today: Exchange Prices taken at 7.51
Uttoxeter 13.50 OPERA DE COEUR EP 1.73
Ascot 14.35 NATAL EP
Wolverhampton 14.50 QUIET TIMES EP 2.06
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tip and pass on my URL
Have a good days racing.
P.S. How about something different...
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