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13th September 2006

Todays ramblings
Good Morning.

I had a lazy one myself.

There are 3 meetings today 1 Jumps from Leicester and 2 AW's from Lingfield and Southwell.

The last couple of weeks we have been trying to find value in betting on the exchange place market. If you want to pick up this thread and read what we have discussed so far, then please go to the email archives here, and start at the 30/10/2006.

On Friday we had.

12.30 Newcastle, European Dream, EP 1. 24 (3 places) 1st 5/6
13.00 Newcastle, Rasharrow, EP 1. 68 (Win only) 5th 4/5
15.05 Cheltenham, Royal Auclair, EP 1. 46 (3 places) 5th 13/8
16.10 Cheltenham, Standin Obligation, EP 1.34 (2 places) 1st 4/6
16.20 Wolverhampton, Yungaburra, EP 1.39 (Win only) 1st 4/11
17.20 Wolverhampton, Emirates First, EP 1.2 (3 places) 1st 8/13

At level stakes we would have been -0.83 down.
Using a staking plan on 15.05 we would have had to back 2.18pts (1/.46) to get back the 1pt we lost on the 13.00. we would then had to back (1 +2.18 / .34) 9.35 pts to get back what we lost on the 13.00 and 15.05 on the 16.10 (9.35 / .34) 27.5 pts.

There are other ways of staking as well, a favourite used by David Turner is to "increase your stake by your original stake every time you lose and then keep it at that stake until you get back your winnings".

On first reading this statement many people immediately shout "Martingale system" but it isn't, the important part is "Your original stake".

This system actually works quite well with low priced selections especially if you have a lot of winners, as we seem to be with this system.

Here are today's.
13.00 Southwell, Off The Record EP 1.17 (3 places)
13.30 Southwell, Sweet Pickle EP 1.42 (3 places)


The last couple of day's of last week were terrible for lay bets and I am wondering if we are just getting hurt by the cross over in season. I do remember this hapening at the beginning of the flat season and it is something I have been warning about for the last couple of months.

The best lay of the day has had two losers in a row (Thursday and Friday) which I am happy to report is quite a rare occurrence.

Fingers crossed for today.
Friday I put in a maiden lay selection that we actually lost on. This selection was from the LaytoProfit system last week that I picked up to write a review.
It wasn't a totally fair, the test as I picked one possible selection from several but what I thought I may do, is adapt the system slightly and here is what I have come up with today.

14.50 Lingfield, Lordswood
15.20 Lingfield, Perfect Story

By the way the LaytoProfit system is well written and covers all of the fundamentals of lay betting (great for newcomers), but I am not totally convinced on the system, it is using a selection method that is practical but I feel it could be improved upon, hence these selections.

A couple of weeks ago I was trying out a new win system which we had a break from last week. It has now been updated slightly so I thought we could take another look. Just for fun I am going to call it Millionaire's Row!

15.10 Leicester, Prairie Minstrel/Lambrini Mist
I still haven't worked out a staking plan for this yet but 50/50 will probably be ok.

2. Racing Post -win selections
(racing post - racing- tipsters-naps- Today's best Bet's)

The suggestion is that if the horse is trading under evens (2.0) then no bet.

Friday: 16.10 Cheltenham, Standin Obligation 1st 4/6

Results: (20 winners 23 loser so far)

Today's: 13.30 Southwell, Sweet Pickle

3. Guest Selection - started 23-10-2006
These are lay test selections from Thomas.
NO BET if odds above 9.00 at Betfair

Friday's (10 Nov 2006)
South 1345 - Reflective Glory - 10th - SP 14/1 - no bet
Chel 1355 - War General - 2nd - SP 16/1 - no bet
South 1420 - Dimashq - 8th - SP 11/1 - no bet
Chel 1540 - Secret Squirrel - 3rd - SP 13/2 - Betfair 8.60 - won
Wolv 1750 - Etoile Russe - 12th - SP 9/1 - no bet
Wolv 1820 - Wings of Morning - 7th - SP 8/1 - no bet

Here are today's (13 nov 2006)
Leic 1310 - Peddars Way
South 1600 - Never Will

Thomas is recording all Betfair prices 30 sec before the off.

4. Miracle System (win Bet)
Friday: 16.10 Cheltenham, Standin Obligation 1st 4/6

Today: 14.30 Southwell, Little Eskimo

You can purchase this system here:
5. Sponsor of the day (please take a look you never Know!)
Turn your lay betting system into winning systems with Roy's easy learn low risk Amazing staking plans.

Click Here to read more
6. "Best Lay of the Day" - Lay Betting System Bet
Friday: 14:45 NEWCASTLE, Negus De Beaumont 1st 9/2

Today: 15:20 LINGFIELD PARK, Perfect Story

Please Note: The lay betting system is actually 4 systems in 1 and I will choose one of the selections for this tip.

You can purchase the system formula:

The Lay Betting SystemAdvantages of owning the system:

1) Pick more than one race a day
2) Make a selection later in the day (normally more choices)
3) Password protected forum so you can talk to other owners.
4) UK or IRE races
5) Bonus Systems and regular updates.
6) Now on V4
7) 3 systems, 1 for flat 2 for Jump/Chase
8) Owners get free updates
9) Now includes Lay Place System.
10) Now includes AW System
11) Now includes the Investment System
If you own your own website you can makes some money by promoting the "Lay Betting System"


You can also have this tip delivered as content to your own website.
Click here to find out more.
7. Today's sponsor tip
The Golden Egg Lay Tips

If trading above 5/1 (Betfair 6.0) then NO BET. Please remember the price of the selection will depend on what time you place your bets.

Selection 1: Leicester 1.10 Blazing Hills
Selection 2: Leicester 2.40 Sea The Light
Selection 3: Southwell 1.30 Sweet Pickle
Selection 4: Southwell 4.00 Kabeer
Selection 5: Lingfield 2.20 Calming Waters
Selections 6: Lingfield 3.20 Perfect Story

If you have a bank of £500 you divide it by 50 giving you a stake of £10 so your level stake would be £10 on each

The Golden Egg Lay Tips

8. Greyhound Selections- Lay System started 07/11/2006.

After playing around with selections I have decided that for the time being this is going to be a lay only test. I think I have worked out a system that will give us quite good prices but I suspect there will have to be a maximum lay price set, I m just not sure what that will be. I will make every effort to record betfair lay prices as well.

Walthamstow BAGS, 12.12, Green Jeanie, Trap 6 2nd 3/1 (I got 4.00)
Hall Green BAGS, 13.51, Dundee Dave, Trap 3 5th 3/1 (I got 4.50)

Sheffield BAGS, 12.12, Shaneboy Venus, Trap 5
Swindon BAGS, 13.04, Robins Bounty, Trap 2
Monmore BAGS, 15.48, Swift Messenger, Trap 4

Don't forget this only a test, although I am now testing these selections with Greyhound bot 2 (still testing) with odds settings of 2.00 to 7.00.

Please tell your friends about this daily tip and pass on my URL

Have a good days racing and a great weekend.


P.S. How about something different...

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